FAW Championship · Jan 03, 2025 19:30
Newport City
PWR 51
PWR 51
1 - 2
FT
Trethomas Bluebirds
PWR 43
PWR 43
47% H
25% D
28% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Newport City to win (60% confidence)
Prediction
2-1
Score
60%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
1-1 (10%)
1-0 (10%)
2-1 (10%)
2-0 (10%)
3-1 (6%)
3-0 (6%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 1-2
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 0%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk29%
Accuracy42%
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ Teams have similar stats - 31.8% draw probability💡 PIVOT: Under 2.5 recommended (71.2% accuracy)Close positions = higher draw risk
SAME_STATS: WR diff only 7.3% (32.2% home win rate)
Power & Form
Attack47
Defense64
Goals/G1.3
Conc/G1.0
Attack53
Defense43
Goals/G1.5
Conc/G1.6
Newport City Form
WWLLW
STABLE
Trethomas Blue… Form
WLWDD
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.554%
BTTS54%
Under 2.546%
Newport City Goals
0
15%
1
28%
2
27%
3
17%
4
8%
Trethomas B… Goals
0
36%
1
37%
2
19%
3
6%
4
2%
Expected Goals (xG)
1.90
Newport Cityvs
1.02
Trethomas Blue…Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum78%
Standings50%
Market50%
High draw risk (43%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#20
Newport City+2
Gap#22
Trethomas B…
WR 41% 50 pts
WR 33% 48 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Newport City | 32 | 13 | 11 | 8 | 43 | 33 | 50 |
| Trethomas Blueb… | 36 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 54 | 59 | 48 |
Newport City
12.0%
| Dec 28 | Newport… v Cwmbran… | 0-1 |
| Dec 20 | Newport… v Caerau … | 3-1 |
| Nov 01 | Newport… v Trethom… | 2-1 |
| Sep 27 | Newport… v Pontypr… | 0-1 |
| Aug 16 | Newport… v Caerau … | 1-2 |
| Aug 06 | Newport… v Cambria… | 0-0 |
| Jul 20 | Newport… v Llantwi… | 2-0 |
Trethomas Blue…
12.0%
| Nov 30 | Trethom… v Cwmbran… | 4-6 |
| Nov 22 | Trethom… v Baglan … | 0-1 |
| Nov 01 | Trethom… v Newport… | 2-1 |
| Oct 19 | Trethom… v Haverfo… | 0-0 |
| Sep 27 | Trethom… v Llantwi… | 1-1 |
| Sep 17 | Trethom… v Bala To… | 1-4 |
| Sep 14 | Trethom… v Pontypr… | 2-3 |
| Aug 26 | Trethom… v Caerau … | 2-2 |
| Aug 23 | Trethom… v Trefelin | 2-2 |
| Aug 02 | Trethom… v Baglan … | 3-1 |
Head-to-Head (1)
| Nov 01, 2024 | Trethomas Blu… | 2-1 | Newport City |
Key Factors
Newport City in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.