Super Cup · Aug 23, 2025 12:00
Al-Nassr
PWR 30
Al-Ahli Saudi
PWR 49
Al-Nassr
PWR 30
2 - 2
FT
Al-Ahli Saudi
PWR 49
35% H
27% D
38% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Draw expected (62% confidence)
Prediction
1-1
Score
62%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
2-2 (7%)
2-1 (7%)
3-2 (6%)
1-2 (6%)
3-1 (6%)
1-1 (6%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 2-2
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 1 rules · 70%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk35%
Accuracy42%
HOME_TOP_POSITION
AH: Draw No Bet (AH 0) - High draw risk
AH_0
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ SAME_TIER: Close positions, 28.4% draw rateClose positions = higher draw riskWeak home team = higher draw riskHigh draw risk (35.3%) - consider AHBelow minimum tier (need 4+ rules, got 1)
Power & Form
Attack47
Defense24
Goals/G1.3
Conc/G2.2
Attack66
Defense43
Goals/G1.9
Conc/G1.6
Al-Nassr Form
LLLWD
DOWN
Al-Ahli Saudi Form
LWWWL
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.577%
BTTS80%
Under 2.523%
Al-Nassr Goals
0
9%
1
21%
2
26%
3
21%
4
13%
Al-Ahli Sau… Goals
0
13%
1
26%
2
27%
3
19%
4
10%
Expected Goals (xG)
2.45
Al-Nassrvs
2.07
Al-Ahli SaudiDecision Breakdown
Player40%
Momentum64%
Standings50%
Market50%
High draw risk (29%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#3
Al-Nassr-2
Gap#1
Al-Ahli Sau…
WR 17% 4 pts
WR 38% 12 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al-Nassr | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 13 | 4 |
| Al-Ahli Saudi | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 15 | 13 | 12 |
Al-Nassr
6.0%
| Aug 19 | Al-Nassr v Al-Itti… | 2-1 |
| Aug 10 | Al-Nassr v Algeria | 3-2 |
| May 26 | Al-Nassr v Al-Fate… | 3-2 |
| May 21 | Al-Nassr v Al Khal… | 2-0 |
| May 16 | Al-Nassr v Al Taaw… | 1-1 |
| May 12 | Al-Nassr v Al Akhd… | 0-9 |
| May 07 | Al-Nassr v Al-Itti… | 2-3 |
| Apr 22 | Al-Nassr v Damac | 2-3 |
| Apr 18 | Al-Nassr v Al-Qadi… | 2-1 |
| Apr 12 | Al-Nassr v Al Riya… | 2-1 |
Al-Ahli Saudi
12.0%
| Aug 20 | Al-Ahli… v Al-Qadi… | 1-5 |
| Aug 10 | Al-Ahli… v FC Aarau | 0-6 |
| May 26 | Al-Ahli… v Al-Qadi… | 2-0 |
| May 26 | Al-Ahli… v Al Riya… | 0-1 |
| May 22 | Al-Ahli… v Al-Etti… | 1-3 |
| May 21 | Al-Ahli… v Al Wehd… | 1-1 |
| May 17 | Al-Ahli… v Al Akhd… | 4-1 |
| May 16 | Al-Ahli… v Al-Fate… | 3-4 |
| May 12 | Al-Ahli… v Al Orub… | 4-0 |
| May 11 | Al-Ahli… v Al Shab… | 3-1 |
Head-to-Head (10)
| Apr 04, 2025 | Al-Ahli Saudi | 1-3 | Al-Nassr |
| Feb 13, 2025 | Al-Ahli Saudi | 2-3 | Al-Nassr |
| Nov 01, 2024 | Al-Nassr | 1-1 | Al-Ahli Saudi |
| Sep 13, 2024 | Al-Nassr | 1-1 | Al-Ahli Saudi |
| Aug 17, 2024 | Al-Nassr | 1-4 | Al-Ahli Saudi |
| May 31, 2024 | Al-Ahli Saudi | 1-1 | Al-Nassr |
| May 17, 2024 | Al-Nassr | 1-1 | Al-Ahli Saudi |
| Apr 08, 2024 | Al-Ahli Saudi | 2-1 | Al-Nassr |
| Mar 15, 2024 | Al-Ahli Saudi | 0-1 | Al-Nassr |
| Feb 08, 2024 | Al-Ahli Saudi | 2-0 | Al-Nassr |
Key Factors
Al-Ahli Saudi in strong form (3W in last 5)
Al-Nassr struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.