AI Match Insights
Liga 1 Sep 25, 2023
Pusamania Borneo
HomeVS
12:00
PSM Makassar
AwayAI Predictions 39.0% Confidence
Pusamania Borneo Win
Draw
PSM Makassar Win
Home Win
(39% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
GAP8+HWR60 (78.2%)
GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%)
HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%)
GAP10_HWR60 (79.9%)
POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%)
GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)
HOME_FORT (73.3%)
TOP5vsBOT (72.7%)
HWR60+ (68.3%)
POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)
Player Score
40%
Momentum
53%
Standings
87%
Market
50%
Combined: 47%
Draw Risk: 47%
xG: 1.42 - 1.21
Key Insights
Position gap: 11 places
High draw risk (47%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Pusamania Borneo Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1 goals:
2 goals:
3 goals:
4 goals:
PSM Makassar Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1 goals:
2 goals:
3 goals:
4 goals:
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1 (12%)
1-0 (10%)
2-1 (9%)
0-1 (9%)
1-2 (7%)
2-0 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score)
53%
Over 2.5 Goals
48%
Under 2.5 Goals
52%
Pusamania Borneo Form 8.0%
| Date | Match | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 03 | Pusamania… vs Persebaya… | 2-1 |
| Aug 25 | Pusamania… vs Persita | 2-1 |
| Aug 18 | Pusamania… vs Bhayangka… | 0-2 |
| Jul 15 | Pusamania… vs Persis So… | 2-1 |
| Apr 16 | Pusamania… vs PSM Makas… | 3-0 |
| Mar 03 | Pusamania… vs Persepam … | 0-1 |
| Feb 25 | Pusamania… vs Bhayangka… | 1-3 |
| Feb 20 | Pusamania… vs Persita | 1-1 |
| Feb 12 | Pusamania… vs Persis So… | 1-1 |
| Feb 03 | Pusamania… vs Persebaya… | 3-2 |
PSM Makassar Form 12.0%
| Date | Match | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 28 | PSM Makas… vs Persis So… | 1-0 |
| Aug 18 | PSM Makas… vs Persebaya… | 1-0 |
| Aug 11 | PSM Makas… vs Bali Unit… | 3-2 |
| Aug 07 | PSM Makas… vs Persita | 0-1 |
| Jul 22 | PSM Makas… vs Persib Ba… | 4-2 |
| Apr 16 | PSM Makas… vs Pusamania… | 3-0 |
| Mar 13 | PSM Makas… vs Persita | 0-0 |
| Mar 05 | PSM Makas… vs Persis So… | 3-2 |
| Feb 24 | PSM Makas… vs Persebaya… | 0-1 |
| Feb 14 | PSM Makas… vs Persib Ba… | 1-2 |
Key Analysis Factors
- PSM Makassar in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
- Pusamania Borneo struggling (3L in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 5 matches
| Date | Home Team | Score | Away Team | League |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 16, 2023 | PSM Makassar | 3 - 0 | Pusamania Borneo | Liga 1 |
| Dec 23, 2022 | Pusamania Borneo | 1 - 1 | PSM Makassar | Liga 1 |
| Jul 03, 2022 | Pusamania Borneo | 2 - 1 | PSM Makassar | Piala Presiden |
| Feb 11, 2022 | PSM Makassar | 0 - 1 | Pusamania Borneo | Liga 1 |
| Oct 22, 2021 | Pusamania Borneo | 2 - 1 | PSM Makassar | Liga 1 |
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Pusamania Borneo to win (64% confidence)
STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0
64% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_10+ (74.9%)
HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%)
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
- No key factors identified
Pusamania Borneo Power
0
PSM Makassar Power
0
Home Form
N/A
Away Form
N/A
League Standings Context
2
Pusamania Borneo Position+11
Position Gap13
PSM Makassar Position
Home Win Rate: 90%
Away Win Rate: 22%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis.
Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.