Premiership · Sep 16, 2023 14:00
Motherwell
PWR 35
St. Mirren
PWR 35
Motherwell
PWR 35
0 - 1
FT
St. Mirren
PWR 35
49% H
24% D
27% A
Final Verdict
Motherwell Win
Prediction
3-1
Score
77%
Confidence
PREMIUM
Stability PREMIUM
Stability PREMIUM
Most Likely Scores:
3-0 (14%)
2-0 (11%)
1-0 (6%)
3-1 (5%)
2-1 (4%)
1-1 (2%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 0-1
Stability Protocol
PREMIUM · 4 rules · 77%DecisionBET
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk17%
Accuracy77%
POINTS_GAPHOME_FORMAWAY_LEAKINGDOMINANT_COMBO
AH: AH -0.5 - Low draw risk
AH_05
Standings data available (Tier 2)Strong home team = lower draw risk✓ Passed (4 independent rules, 77% confidence)
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Motherwell Form
WWLWD
STABLE
St. Mirren Form
DDWWL
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.560%
BTTS30%
Under 2.540%
Motherwell Goals
0
2%
1
8%
2
16%
3
20%
4
20%
St. Mirren Goals
0
69%
1
26%
2
5%
3
1%
4
0%
Expected Goals (xG)
3.83
Motherwellvs
0.37
St. MirrenDecision Breakdown
M85+S60 (75.3%)GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)HWR60+ (68.3%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum94%
Standings70%
Market50%
High draw risk (30%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#4
Motherwell+5
Gap#9
St. Mirren
WR 67% 43 pts
WR 9% 23 pts
Motherwell
14.0%
| Sep 03 | Motherw… v Heart o… | 0-1 |
| Aug 26 | Motherw… v Kilmarn… | 2-1 |
| Aug 19 | Motherw… v St. Mir… | 1-0 |
| Aug 13 | Motherw… v Hiberni… | 2-1 |
| Aug 05 | Motherw… v Dundee … | 1-1 |
| May 28 | Motherw… v Dundee … | 3-2 |
| May 24 | Motherw… v Livings… | 1-1 |
| May 20 | Motherw… v Ross Co… | 1-0 |
| May 06 | Motherw… v Kilmarn… | 2-0 |
| Apr 22 | Motherw… v Celtic | 1-1 |
St. Mirren
12.0%
| Sep 02 | St. Mir… v Livings… | 1-1 |
| Aug 27 | St. Mir… v Aberdeen | 2-2 |
| Aug 19 | St. Mir… v Motherw… | 1-0 |
| Aug 12 | St. Mir… v Dundee … | 2-1 |
| May 27 | St. Mir… v Rangers… | 0-3 |
| May 24 | St. Mir… v Aberdeen | 3-0 |
| Apr 22 | St. Mir… v Kilmarn… | 0-2 |
| Apr 01 | St. Mir… v Livings… | 3-0 |
| Mar 18 | St. Mir… v Dundee … | 1-1 |
| Feb 15 | St. Mir… v Motherw… | 2-1 |
Head-to-Head (2)
| Aug 19, 2023 | St. Mirren | 1-0 | Motherwell |
| Feb 15, 2023 | Motherwell | 2-1 | St. Mirren |
Key Factors
Motherwell in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.