AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Taça da Liga Jan 06, 2026

Sporting CP

Home
VS
20:00

Guimaraes

Away
AI Predictions 57.0% Confidence
Sporting CP Win
57.0%
Draw
22.6%
Guimaraes Win
20.4%
Home Win (57% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 79%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 47% Draw Risk: 49%
xG: 1.15 - 0.20
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.1 vs 0.2
High draw risk (49%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Sporting CP Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
32%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
21%
3 goals:
8%
4 goals:
2%
Guimaraes Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
82%
1 goals:
16%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (30%) 0-0 (26%) 2-0 (17%) 3-0 (7%) 1-1 (6%) 0-1 (5%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 12%
Over 2.5 Goals 15%
Under 2.5 Goals 85%
Sporting CP Form 18.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 02 Sporting … vs GIL Vicen… 1-1
Dec 28 Sporting … vs Rio Ave FC 4-0
Dec 23 Sporting … vs Guimaraes 1-4
Dec 18 Sporting … vs Santa Cla… 2-3
Dec 17 Sporting … vs West Ham … 1-2
Dec 13 Sporting … vs AVS 6-0
Dec 09 Sporting … vs Bayern Mu… 3-1
Dec 05 Sporting … vs Benfica 1-1
Nov 30 Sporting … vs Estrela d… 4-0
Nov 26 Sporting … vs Club Brug… 3-0
Guimaraes Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 02 Guimaraes vs Nacional 2-1
Dec 28 Guimaraes vs Casa Pia … 0-0
Dec 23 Guimaraes vs Sporting … 1-4
Dec 17 Guimaraes vs AVS 0-1
Dec 13 Guimaraes vs Rio Ave FC 0-1
Dec 08 Guimaraes vs GIL Vicen… 0-0
Dec 04 Guimaraes vs FC Porto 1-3
Nov 28 Guimaraes vs AVS 4-0
Nov 22 Guimaraes vs Mortágua 4-0
Nov 08 Guimaraes vs Tondela 0-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Sporting CP in strong form (4W in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 10 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Dec 23, 2025 Guimaraes 1 - 4 Sporting CP Primeira Liga
May 17, 2025 Sporting CP 2 - 0 Guimaraes Primeira Liga
Jan 03, 2025 Guimaraes 4 - 4 Sporting CP Primeira Liga
Apr 21, 2024 Sporting CP 3 - 0 Guimaraes Primeira Liga
Dec 09, 2023 Guimaraes 3 - 2 Sporting CP Primeira Liga
Apr 24, 2023 Guimaraes 0 - 2 Sporting CP Primeira Liga
Nov 05, 2022 Sporting CP 3 - 0 Guimaraes Primeira Liga
Mar 19, 2022 Guimaraes 1 - 3 Sporting CP Primeira Liga
Oct 30, 2021 Sporting CP 1 - 0 Guimaraes Primeira Liga
Mar 20, 2021 Sporting CP 1 - 0 Guimaraes Primeira Liga
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Sporting CP to win (30% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Sporting CP Power 0
Guimaraes Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.