AI Match Insights

FAW Championship Feb 07, 2026

Caerau (Ely)

Home
VS
17:30

Ammanford AFC

Away
AI Predictions 38.0% Confidence
Caerau (Ely) Win
35.0%
Draw
27.0%
Ammanford AFC Win
38.0%
Away Win (38% confidence)
Predicted Score: 0-1
Decision Justification
Player Score 40%
Momentum 36%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 36% Draw Risk: 41%
xG: 0.30 - 1.25
High draw risk (41%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Caerau (Ely) Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
74%
1 goals:
22%
2 goals:
3%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Ammanford AFC Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
29%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
22%
3 goals:
9%
4 goals:
3%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1 (27%) 0-0 (21%) 0-2 (17%) 1-1 (8%) 0-3 (7%) 1-0 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 18%
Over 2.5 Goals 20%
Under 2.5 Goals 80%
Caerau (Ely) Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 31 Caerau (E… vs Bangor 18… 2-1
Jan 23 Caerau (E… vs Trethomas… 1-5
Jan 16 Caerau (E… vs Trefelin 1-2
Jan 09 Caerau (E… vs Newport C… 1-1
Jan 02 Caerau (E… vs Cardiff D… 2-1
Dec 26 Caerau (E… vs Trefelin 3-0
Dec 20 Caerau (E… vs Aberystwy… 1-0
Dec 13 Caerau (E… vs Llandudno 2-1
Nov 28 Caerau (E… vs Carmarthe… 1-1
Nov 07 Caerau (E… vs Cambrian … 2-3
Ammanford AFC Form 16.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 23 Ammanford… vs Trefelin 0-4
Jan 09 Ammanford… vs Pontyprid… 0-3
Jan 03 Ammanford… vs Ynyshir A… 2-0
Dec 26 Ammanford… vs Carmarthe… 0-1
Nov 28 Ammanford… vs Baglan Dr… 0-3
Nov 14 Ammanford… vs Cambrian … 1-1
Nov 07 Ammanford… vs Afan Lido 6-0
Nov 01 Ammanford… vs Newport C… 0-0
Oct 24 Ammanford… vs Cwmbran C… 2-1
Oct 10 Ammanford… vs Carmarthe… 1-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Ammanford AFC in strong form (4W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 5 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Sep 05, 2025 Ammanford AFC 3 - 2 Caerau (Ely) FAW Championsh…
Jan 17, 2025 Caerau (Ely) 2 - 1 Ammanford AFC FAW Championsh…
Nov 08, 2024 Ammanford AFC 0 - 2 Caerau (Ely) FAW Championsh…
Mar 29, 2024 Ammanford AFC 1 - 1 Caerau (Ely) FAW Championsh…
Aug 12, 2023 Caerau (Ely) 1 - 2 Ammanford AFC FAW Championsh…
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Caerau (Ely) to win (30% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Caerau (Ely) Power 0
Ammanford AFC Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.