AI Match Insights

Liga Alef Feb 05, 2026

Hapoel Umm al-Fahm

Home
VS
17:00

Hapoel Ironi Karmiel

Away
AI Predictions 43.0% Confidence
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm Win
43.0%
Draw
25.4%
Hapoel Ironi Karmiel Win
31.6%
Home Win (43% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-1
Decision Justification
Player Score 40%
Momentum 53%
Standings 30%
Market 35%
Combined: 35% Draw Risk: 55%
Asian Handicap: Away -0.5
xG: 1.72 - 1.63
Key Insights
Asian Handicap: Away -0.5
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
18%
1 goals:
31%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
15%
4 goals:
7%
Hapoel Ironi Karmiel Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
20%
1 goals:
32%
2 goals:
26%
3 goals:
14%
4 goals:
6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1 (10%) 2-1 (8%) 1-2 (8%) 2-2 (7%) 1-0 (6%) 0-1 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 66%
Over 2.5 Goals 64%
Under 2.5 Goals 36%
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 30 Hapoel Um… vs Tzeirey T… 2-4
Jan 23 Hapoel Um… vs Ironi Nes… 1-2
Jan 17 Hapoel Um… vs Maccabi A… 3-2
Jan 13 Hapoel Um… vs Tzeirei U… 0-0
Jan 06 Hapoel Um… vs Maccabi N… 0-2
Jan 02 Hapoel Um… vs Maccabi N… 0-3
Dec 26 Hapoel Um… vs Hapoel Ka… 2-0
Dec 20 Hapoel Um… vs Ironi Bak… 2-2
Dec 14 Hapoel Um… vs Hapoel Mi… 1-3
Dec 05 Hapoel Um… vs Araba 3-2
Hapoel Ironi Karmiel Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 30 Hapoel Ir… vs Ironi Nes… 1-1
Jan 30 Hapoel Ir… vs Hapoel Bn… 2-3
Jan 23 Hapoel Ir… vs Hapoel Be… 0-1
Jan 23 Hapoel Ir… vs Maccabi A… 1-2
Jan 16 Hapoel Ir… vs Maccabi K… 0-0
Jan 16 Hapoel Ir… vs Tzeirei U… 1-1
Jan 11 Hapoel Ir… vs Maccabi N… 2-0
Jan 09 Hapoel Ir… vs Tzeirey T… 3-3
Jan 06 Hapoel Ir… vs Maccabi N… 1-3
Jan 06 Hapoel Ir… vs Ironi Nes… 4-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Hapoel Umm al-Fahm struggling (3L in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 1 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Sep 26, 2025 Hapoel Ironi Karmiel 1 - 0 Hapoel Umm al-Fahm Liga Alef
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm Power 0
Hapoel Ironi Karmiel Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

16

Hapoel Umm al-Fahm Position

-11

Position Gap

5

Hapoel Ironi Karmiel Position

Home Win Rate: 33%
Away Win Rate: 40%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.