AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Liga Alef Feb 06, 2026

Hapoel Migdal HaEmek

Home
VS
11:00

Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm

Away
AI Predictions 49.0% Confidence
Hapoel Migdal HaEmek Win
49.0%
Draw
24.2%
Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm Win
26.8%
Home Win (49% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 69%
Standings 48%
Market 50%
Combined: 44% Draw Risk: 47%
xG: 1.35 - 0.71
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.4 vs 0.7
High draw risk (47%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Hapoel Migdal HaEmek Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
26%
1 goals:
35%
2 goals:
24%
3 goals:
11%
4 goals:
4%
Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
49%
1 goals:
35%
2 goals:
12%
3 goals:
3%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (17%) 0-0 (13%) 1-1 (12%) 2-0 (12%) 0-1 (9%) 2-1 (8%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 38%
Over 2.5 Goals 34%
Under 2.5 Goals 66%
Hapoel Migdal HaEmek Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 31 Hapoel Mi… vs Maccabi N… 0-0
Jan 26 Hapoel Mi… vs Maccabi N… 3-1
Jan 16 Hapoel Mi… vs Ironi Bak… 2-1
Jan 10 Hapoel Mi… vs Maccabi K… 0-0
Jan 06 Hapoel Mi… vs Araba 1-2
Dec 31 Hapoel Mi… vs Tira 1-1
Dec 19 Hapoel Mi… vs Hapoel Ti… 0-4
Dec 14 Hapoel Mi… vs Hapoel Um… 1-3
Dec 05 Hapoel Mi… vs Hapoel Bn… 0-5
Nov 27 Hapoel Mi… vs Hapoel Be… 0-0
Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 30 Tzeirei U… vs Araba 3-0
Jan 24 Tzeirei U… vs Tira 2-1
Jan 16 Tzeirei U… vs Hapoel Ti… 1-1
Jan 13 Tzeirei U… vs Hapoel Um… 0-0
Jan 06 Tzeirei U… vs Hapoel Bn… 2-2
Jan 03 Tzeirei U… vs Hapoel Be… 0-3
Dec 19 Tzeirei U… vs Hapoel Ir… 1-0
Dec 12 Tzeirei U… vs Tzeirey T… 2-1
Dec 05 Tzeirei U… vs Ironi Nes… 1-1
Nov 28 Tzeirei U… vs Maccabi A… 1-2
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 4 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Sep 26, 2025 Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm 0 - 0 Hapoel Migdal HaEmek Liga Alef
Jan 21, 2025 Hapoel Migdal HaEmek 3 - 1 Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm Liga Alef
May 03, 2024 Hapoel Migdal HaEmek 1 - 1 Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm Liga Alef
Feb 10, 2024 Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm 2 - 2 Hapoel Migdal HaEmek Liga Alef
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Hapoel Migdal HaEmek Power 0
Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

9

Hapoel Migdal HaEmek Position

-1

Position Gap

8

Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm Position
Home Win Rate: 22%
Away Win Rate: 11%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.