AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Super Cup Jan 06, 2026

Fenerbahce

Home
VS
17:30

Samsunspor

Away
AI Predictions 59.0% Confidence
Fenerbahce Win
59.0%
Draw
22.2%
Samsunspor Win
18.8%
Home Win (59% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 60% Draw Risk: 6%
xG: 4.40 - 0.96
Key Insights
xG dominance: 4.4 vs 1.0
Score Prediction Analysis
Fenerbahce Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1%
1 goals:
5%
2 goals:
12%
3 goals:
17%
4 goals:
19%
Samsunspor Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
38%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
18%
3 goals:
6%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (7%) 3-1 (6%) 2-0 (5%) 2-1 (4%) 3-2 (3%) 2-2 (2%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 61%
Over 2.5 Goals 62%
Under 2.5 Goals 38%
Fenerbahce Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Dec 23 Fenerbahce vs Besiktas 1-2
Dec 20 Fenerbahce vs EyĂĽpspor 0-3
Dec 15 Fenerbahce vs Konyaspor 4-0
Dec 11 Fenerbahce vs Brann 0-4
Dec 06 Fenerbahce vs İstanbul … 1-1
Dec 01 Fenerbahce vs Galatasar… 1-1
Nov 27 Fenerbahce vs Ferencvár… 1-1
Nov 23 Fenerbahce vs Rizespor 2-5
Nov 09 Fenerbahce vs Kayserisp… 4-2
Nov 06 Fenerbahce vs Plzen 0-0
Samsunspor Form 4.0%
Date Match Result
Dec 24 Samsunspor vs EyĂĽpspor 2-1
Dec 21 Samsunspor vs Goztepe 2-0
Dec 14 Samsunspor vs İstanbul … 0-2
Dec 11 Samsunspor vs AEK Athen… 1-2
Dec 05 Samsunspor vs Galatasar… 3-2
Dec 01 Samsunspor vs Alanyaspor 1-1
Nov 27 Samsunspor vs Breidablik 2-2
Nov 23 Samsunspor vs Besiktas 1-1
Nov 09 Samsunspor vs EyĂĽpspor 1-0
Nov 06 Samsunspor vs Hamrun Sp… 3-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Fenerbahce in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
  • Samsunspor struggling (4L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 5 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Oct 05, 2025 Samsunspor 0 - 0 Fenerbahce SĂĽper Lig
Mar 16, 2025 Fenerbahce 0 - 0 Samsunspor SĂĽper Lig
Oct 20, 2024 Samsunspor 2 - 2 Fenerbahce SĂĽper Lig
Jan 21, 2024 Fenerbahce 1 - 1 Samsunspor SĂĽper Lig
Aug 21, 2023 Samsunspor 0 - 2 Fenerbahce SĂĽper Lig
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Fenerbahce to win (30% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Fenerbahce Power 0
Samsunspor Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.