AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Stars League Jan 31, 2026

Al-Gharafa

Home
VS
16:45

Al-Sadd SC

Away
AI Predictions 38.0% Confidence
Al-Gharafa Win
35.0%
Draw
27.0%
Al-Sadd SC Win
38.0%
Away Win (38% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
HOME_FORT (73.3%) HWR60+ (68.3%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 79%
Standings 52%
Market 39%
Combined: 46% Draw Risk: 35%
Asian Handicap: Away -0.25
xG: 1.92 - 0.98
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.9 vs 1.0 Asian Handicap: Away -0.25
High draw risk (35%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Al-Gharafa Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
15%
1 goals:
28%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
17%
4 goals:
8%
Al-Sadd SC Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
38%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
18%
3 goals:
6%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (11%) 1-1 (10%) 2-0 (10%) 2-1 (10%) 3-0 (6%) 3-1 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 53%
Over 2.5 Goals 54%
Under 2.5 Goals 46%
Al-Gharafa Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 22 Al-Gharafa vs Sharjah FC 1-1
Jan 19 Al-Gharafa vs Qatar SC 3-2
Jan 15 Al-Gharafa vs Al-Arabi … 1-2
Jan 06 Al-Gharafa vs UMM Salal 2-3
Dec 27 Al-Gharafa vs Al Shahan… 3-0
Dec 13 Al-Gharafa vs Al Wakrah 2-3
Dec 04 Al-Gharafa vs Al-Arabi … 2-1
Nov 28 Al-Gharafa vs Al-Duhail 1-1
Nov 21 Al-Gharafa vs Al Wakrah 1-0
Nov 14 Al-Gharafa vs Al-Duhail 1-0
Al-Sadd SC Form 16.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 24 Al-Sadd SC vs Shabab Al… 3-2
Jan 19 Al-Sadd SC vs Al-Arabi … 5-0
Jan 16 Al-Sadd SC vs Al Ahli D… 2-0
Jan 08 Al-Sadd SC vs Qatar SC 2-3
Dec 29 Al-Sadd SC vs Al Shamal… 0-3
Dec 23 Al-Sadd SC vs Shabab Al… 4-2
Dec 12 Al-Sadd SC vs Al-Rayyan 5-3
Dec 04 Al-Sadd SC vs Al Kharai… 0-5
Nov 27 Al-Sadd SC vs Al Mesaim… 1-3
Nov 25 Al-Sadd SC vs Al Wahda … 3-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Al-Sadd SC in strong form (4W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 9 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Sep 01, 2025 Al-Gharafa 3 - 3 Al-Sadd SC QSL Cup
Aug 28, 2025 Al-Sadd SC 2 - 0 Al-Gharafa Stars League
May 14, 2025 Al-Gharafa 2 - 2 Al-Sadd SC Emir Cup
Feb 27, 2025 Al-Gharafa 0 - 4 Al-Sadd SC Stars League
Sep 26, 2024 Al-Sadd SC 4 - 2 Al-Gharafa Stars League
Mar 06, 2024 Al-Gharafa 2 - 2 Al-Sadd SC Stars League
Sep 28, 2023 Al-Sadd SC 4 - 0 Al-Gharafa Stars League
Sep 15, 2023 Al-Sadd SC 0 - 1 Al-Gharafa QFA Cup
Feb 15, 2023 Al-Gharafa 1 - 3 Al-Sadd SC Stars League
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Al-Gharafa to win (41% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 41% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Al-Gharafa Power 0
Al-Sadd SC Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

1

Al-Gharafa Position

+1

Position Gap

2

Al-Sadd SC Position
Home Win Rate: 86%
Away Win Rate: 83%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.