AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
A-League Feb 06, 2026

Macarthur FC

Home
VS
08:35

Perth Glory

Away
AI Predictions 45.0% Confidence
Macarthur FC Win
45.0%
Draw
25.0%
Perth Glory Win
30.0%
Home Win (45% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 68%
Standings 54%
Market 50%
Combined: 45% Draw Risk: 39%
xG: 2.53 - 1.97
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.5 vs 2.0 Position gap: 5 places
High draw risk (39%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Macarthur FC Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
8%
1 goals:
20%
2 goals:
26%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
14%
Perth Glory Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
14%
1 goals:
28%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
18%
4 goals:
9%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1 (7%) 2-2 (7%) 3-1 (6%) 3-2 (6%) 1-1 (6%) 1-2 (5%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 79%
Over 2.5 Goals 77%
Under 2.5 Goals 23%
Macarthur FC Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 30 Macarthur… vs Adelaide … 1-1
Jan 24 Macarthur… vs Melbourne… 6-2
Jan 18 Macarthur… vs Central C… 1-1
Jan 10 Macarthur… vs Sydney 0-3
Jan 05 Macarthur… vs Auckland 1-1
Jan 01 Macarthur… vs Western S… 0-1
Dec 26 Macarthur… vs Newcastle… 4-5
Dec 23 Macarthur… vs Melbourne… 1-1
Dec 19 Macarthur… vs Brisbane … 2-1
Dec 11 Macarthur… vs Beijing G… 1-2
Perth Glory Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 31 Perth Glo… vs Auckland 2-1
Jan 25 Perth Glo… vs Western S… 1-0
Jan 16 Perth Glo… vs Brisbane … 1-2
Jan 10 Perth Glo… vs Central C… 3-0
Jan 02 Perth Glo… vs Melbourne… 3-2
Dec 28 Perth Glo… vs Melbourne… 1-3
Dec 20 Perth Glo… vs Adelaide … 0-1
Dec 13 Perth Glo… vs Sydney 0-1
Dec 05 Perth Glo… vs Western S… 1-0
Nov 30 Perth Glo… vs Macarthur… 0-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • Perth Glory struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 10 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Nov 30, 2025 Macarthur FC 0 - 2 Perth Glory A-League
Dec 27, 2024 Perth Glory 0 - 3 Macarthur FC A-League
Oct 20, 2024 Macarthur FC 6 - 1 Perth Glory A-League
Jan 28, 2024 Macarthur FC 2 - 2 Perth Glory A-League
Dec 23, 2023 Perth Glory 3 - 2 Macarthur FC A-League
Jul 18, 2023 Perth Glory 0 - 4 Macarthur FC Australia Cup
Apr 01, 2023 Perth Glory 2 - 1 Macarthur FC A-League
Dec 18, 2022 Macarthur FC 1 - 0 Perth Glory A-League
Apr 03, 2022 Macarthur FC 4 - 2 Perth Glory A-League
Feb 23, 2022 Perth Glory 0 - 1 Macarthur FC A-League
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Macarthur FC to win (43% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 43% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_5+ (66.8%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Macarthur FC Power 0
Perth Glory Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

4

Macarthur FC Position

+5

Position Gap

9

Perth Glory Position
Home Win Rate: 38%
Away Win Rate: 50%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.