A-League · Feb 06, 2026 06:00
Wellington Phoenix
PWR 35
Melbourne Victory
PWR 35
Wellington Phoenix
PWR 35
2 - 3
FT
Melbourne Victory
PWR 35
49% H
24% D
27% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Prediction
1-1
Score
43%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
1-0 (21%)
2-0 (16%)
0-0 (15%)
1-1 (10%)
3-0 (8%)
2-1 (7%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_YES
LOST - Actual: 2-3
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 0%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk32%
Accuracy42%
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ Teams have similar stats - 31.8% draw probability💡 PIVOT: Under 2.5 recommended (71.2% accuracy)Weak home team = higher draw risk
SAME_STATS: WR diff only 0.0% (32.2% home win rate)
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Wellington Pho… Form
DLWDW
STABLE
Melbourne Vict… Form
LWLLW
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.530%
BTTS28%
Under 2.570%
Wellington … Goals
0
23%
1
34%
2
25%
3
12%
4
5%
Melbourne V… Goals
0
63%
1
29%
2
7%
3
1%
4
0%
Expected Goals (xG)
1.47
Wellington Pho…vs
0.46
Melbourne Vict…Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum80%
Standings38%
Market50%
High draw risk (39%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#11
Wellington …-6
Gap#5
Melbourne V…
WR 33% 19 pts
WR 33% 23 pts
Wellington Pho…
12.0%
| Jan 30 | Welling… v Melbour… | 2-2 |
| Jan 23 | Welling… v Newcast… | 4-1 |
| Jan 18 | Welling… v Sydney | 0-2 |
| Jan 11 | Welling… v Adelaid… | 2-2 |
| Jan 03 | Welling… v Brisban… | 0-3 |
| Dec 29 | Welling… v Melbour… | 5-1 |
| Dec 21 | Welling… v Central… | 3-1 |
| Dec 14 | Welling… v Newcast… | 1-3 |
| Dec 06 | Welling… v Auckland | 3-1 |
| Nov 29 | Welling… v Adelaid… | 2-1 |
Melbourne Vict…
8.0%
| Feb 01 | Melbour… v Central… | 1-0 |
| Jan 26 | Melbour… v Sydney | 4-0 |
| Jan 17 | Melbour… v Adelaid… | 2-1 |
| Jan 10 | Melbour… v Western… | 0-1 |
| Jan 02 | Melbour… v Perth G… | 3-2 |
| Dec 29 | Melbour… v Welling… | 5-1 |
| Dec 20 | Melbour… v Melbour… | 0-1 |
| Dec 13 | Melbour… v Adelaid… | 2-1 |
| Dec 05 | Melbour… v Macarth… | 0-0 |
| Nov 28 | Melbour… v Brisban… | 1-0 |
Head-to-Head (10)
| Dec 29, 2025 | Melbourne Vic… | 5-1 | Wellington Ph… |
| Apr 12, 2025 | Wellington Ph… | 2-3 | Melbourne Vic… |
| Feb 14, 2025 | Melbourne Vic… | 1-0 | Wellington Ph… |
| Nov 24, 2024 | Wellington Ph… | 1-0 | Melbourne Vic… |
| May 18, 2024 | Wellington Ph… | 1-2 | Melbourne Vic… |
| May 12, 2024 | Melbourne Vic… | 0-0 | Wellington Ph… |
| Apr 12, 2024 | Wellington Ph… | 1-0 | Melbourne Vic… |
| Jan 19, 2024 | Wellington Ph… | 1-1 | Melbourne Vic… |
| Nov 10, 2023 | Melbourne Vic… | 1-1 | Wellington Ph… |
| Apr 01, 2023 | Wellington Ph… | 1-2 | Melbourne Vic… |
Key Factors
Melbourne Victory struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.