A-League · Feb 01, 2026 06:00
Central Coast Mariners
PWR 35
Melbourne Victory
PWR 35
Central Coast Mariners
PWR 35
1 - 0
FT
Melbourne Victory
PWR 35
37% H
27% D
36% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Prediction
1-1
Score
43%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
0-0 (29%)
1-0 (26%)
2-0 (11%)
0-1 (10%)
1-1 (9%)
2-1 (4%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_YES
LOST - Actual: 1-0
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 0%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk32%
Accuracy42%
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ Teams have similar stats - 31.8% draw probability💡 PIVOT: Under 2.5 recommended (71.2% accuracy)Weak home team = higher draw risk
SAME_STATS: WR diff only 8.3% (32.2% home win rate)
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Central Coast … Form
DDLWL
STABLE
Melbourne Vict… Form
WLLWW
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.513%
BTTS17%
Under 2.587%
Central Coa… Goals
0
42%
1
37%
2
16%
3
5%
4
1%
Melbourne V… Goals
0
71%
1
25%
2
4%
3
1%
4
0%
Expected Goals (xG)
0.88
Central Coast …vs
0.35
Melbourne Vict…Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum67%
Standings40%
Market50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#10
Central Coa…-5
Gap#5
Melbourne V…
WR 25% 19 pts
WR 33% 23 pts
Central Coast …
8.0%
| Jan 24 | Central… v Auckland | 2-2 |
| Jan 18 | Central… v Macarth… | 1-1 |
| Jan 10 | Central… v Perth G… | 3-0 |
| Jan 04 | Central… v Adelaid… | 0-4 |
| Dec 31 | Central… v Brisban… | 1-2 |
| Dec 21 | Central… v Welling… | 3-1 |
| Dec 12 | Central… v Auckland | 1-2 |
| Dec 06 | Central… v Sydney | 1-2 |
| Nov 29 | Central… v Melbour… | 0-0 |
| Nov 22 | Central… v Western… | 3-2 |
Melbourne Vict…
12.0%
| Jan 26 | Melbour… v Sydney | 4-0 |
| Jan 17 | Melbour… v Adelaid… | 2-1 |
| Jan 10 | Melbour… v Western… | 0-1 |
| Jan 02 | Melbour… v Perth G… | 3-2 |
| Dec 29 | Melbour… v Welling… | 5-1 |
| Dec 20 | Melbour… v Melbour… | 0-1 |
| Dec 13 | Melbour… v Adelaid… | 2-1 |
| Dec 05 | Melbour… v Macarth… | 0-0 |
| Nov 28 | Melbour… v Brisban… | 1-0 |
| Nov 22 | Melbour… v Sydney | 3-0 |
Head-to-Head (10)
| Mar 08, 2025 | Melbourne Vic… | 3-0 | Central Coast… |
| Oct 18, 2024 | Central Coast… | 0-0 | Melbourne Vic… |
| May 25, 2024 | Central Coast… | 3-1 | Melbourne Vic… |
| Feb 25, 2024 | Melbourne Vic… | 0-1 | Central Coast… |
| Jan 13, 2024 | Central Coast… | 1-1 | Melbourne Vic… |
| Dec 03, 2023 | Central Coast… | 2-2 | Melbourne Vic… |
| Mar 19, 2023 | Melbourne Vic… | 2-0 | Central Coast… |
| Dec 31, 2022 | Central Coast… | 2-1 | Melbourne Vic… |
| Mar 09, 2022 | Central Coast… | 1-1 | Melbourne Vic… |
| Feb 19, 2022 | Melbourne Vic… | 1-0 | Central Coast… |
Key Factors
Melbourne Victory in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.