AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
SĂĽper Lig Aug 21, 2023

Samsunspor

Home
VS
18:00

Fenerbahce

Away
AI Predictions 39.0% Confidence
Samsunspor Win
39.0%
Draw
26.2%
Fenerbahce Win
34.8%
Home Win (39% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 69%
Standings 40%
Market 50%
Combined: 43% Draw Risk: 53%
xG: 1.24 - 0.62
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.2 vs 0.6
High draw risk (53%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Samsunspor Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
29%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
22%
3 goals:
9%
4 goals:
3%
Fenerbahce Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
54%
1 goals:
33%
2 goals:
10%
3 goals:
2%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (19%) 0-0 (16%) 2-0 (12%) 1-1 (12%) 0-1 (10%) 2-1 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 33%
Over 2.5 Goals 28%
Under 2.5 Goals 72%
Samsunspor Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
May 16 Samsunspor vs BB Bodrum… 0-1
Apr 07 Samsunspor vs Goztepe 1-0
Mar 18 Samsunspor vs Genclerbi… 0-1
Mar 13 Samsunspor vs İstanbuls… 3-0
Jan 22 Samsunspor vs EyĂĽpspor 1-4
Dec 21 Samsunspor vs Trabzonsp… 3-0
Dec 17 Samsunspor vs BB Bodrum… 0-0
Nov 06 Samsunspor vs Goztepe 1-0
Oct 08 Samsunspor vs Genclerbi… 2-0
Sep 11 Samsunspor vs İstanbuls… 1-1
Fenerbahce Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Jun 11 Fenerbahce vs İstanbul … 2-0
Jun 04 Fenerbahce vs Galatasar… 3-0
Apr 19 Fenerbahce vs İstanbul … 1-2
Apr 02 Fenerbahce vs Besiktas 2-4
Mar 19 Fenerbahce vs Antalyasp… 1-3
Feb 25 Fenerbahce vs Antalyasp… 4-0
Jan 08 Fenerbahce vs Galatasar… 0-3
Dec 07 Fenerbahce vs Antalyasp… 2-4
Oct 22 Fenerbahce vs İstanbul … 1-0
Oct 02 Fenerbahce vs Besiktas 0-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Fenerbahce in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
  • Samsunspor struggling (3L in last 5) Home
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Samsunspor Power 0
Fenerbahce Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

7

Samsunspor Position

-5

Position Gap

2

Fenerbahce Position
Home Win Rate: 30%
Away Win Rate: 64%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.