Liga Portugal 2 · Mar 29, 2026 17:00
União de Leiria
PWR 35
Pacos Ferreira
PWR 35
União de Leiria
PWR 35
3-1
predicted
Pacos Ferreira
PWR 35
55%
23%
22%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
União de Leiria Win
Score
3-1
Confidence
42%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
3-1 (7%)2-1 (6%)3-2 (5%)3-0 (5%)2-2 (4%)2-0 (4%)
All Markets
1X2
Suggested
H
Over 2.5
72%
72%
Under 2.5
28%
BTTS
Yes
Yes 74%
Over 3.5
46%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
União de Leiria
WLWWW
STABLE
Pacos Ferreira
LWWDL
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk30%
Accuracy38%
POSITION_GAP
Standings data available (Tier 2)Home team draws 33% at home = very high riskH2H: 3/5 draws (60%) = VERY HIGH riskConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (30.2%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
3.54
União de Leiriavs
1.42
Pacos FerreiraGoal Probability
União de Le…
0
3%
1
10%
2
18%
3
22%
4
19%
Pacos Ferre…
0
24%
1
34%
2
24%
3
12%
4
4%
CORRECT SCORES
2-1 (10%)2-0 (9%)1-1 (8%)3-1 (8%)1-0 (8%)3-0 (8%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 97% | 3% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 86% | 14% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 68% | 32% | OVER |
| 3.5 | 46% | 54% | - |
| 4.5 | 27% | 73% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 14% | 86% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 7% | 94% | UNDER |
League Position
#6
União de Le…+8
Gap#14
Pacos Ferre…
WR 42% 38 pts
WR 25% 30 pts
União de Leiria
16.0%
| Mar 20 | União d… v Chaves | 0-1 |
| Mar 15 | União d… v Marítimo | 1-2 |
| Mar 08 | União d… v Leixões… | 1-4 |
| Feb 28 | União d… v Portimo… | 1-0 |
| Feb 21 | União d… v Moreire… | 2-4 |
| Feb 15 | União d… v FC Porto | 2-2 |
| Feb 08 | União d… v Moreire… | 3-1 |
| Jan 26 | União d… v Sportin… | 3-1 |
| Jan 21 | União d… v Vizela | 2-2 |
| Jan 16 | União d… v Académi… | 2-0 |
Pacos Ferreira
10.0%
| Mar 22 | Pacos F… v Leixões… | 3-2 |
| Mar 14 | Pacos F… v Benfica | 1-0 |
| Mar 07 | Pacos F… v Portimo… | 2-3 |
| Mar 01 | Pacos F… v Moreire… | 0-0 |
| Feb 23 | Pacos F… v FC Porto | 1-0 |
| Feb 15 | Pacos F… v Moreire… | 0-0 |
| Feb 10 | Pacos F… v Sportin… | 0-3 |
| Jan 23 | Pacos F… v Académi… | 2-1 |
| Jan 15 | Pacos F… v Vizela | 3-0 |
| Jan 04 | Pacos F… v Penafie… | 1-2 |
Head-to-Head (5)
| Aug 23, 2025 | Pacos Ferreira | 0-0 | União de Leir… |
| Apr 25, 2025 | Pacos Ferreira | 2-3 | União de Leir… |
| Dec 14, 2024 | União de Leir… | 0-1 | Pacos Ferreira |
| Dec 22, 2023 | União de Leir… | 1-1 | Pacos Ferreira |
| Aug 12, 2023 | Pacos Ferreira | 0-0 | União de Leir… |
Decision Breakdown
M75+S65+DR<22 (81.1%)M85+S60 (75.3%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
94%
Standings
67%
Market
50%
Key Factors
União de Leiria in strong form (4W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.