Serie A · Feb 09, 2026 19:45
AS Roma
PWR 41
Cagliari
PWR 34
AS Roma
PWR 41
2-1
predicted
Cagliari
PWR 34
41% H
26% D
33% A
Final Verdict
AS Roma Win
Prediction
2-1
Score
82%
Confidence
PREMIUM
Stability PREMIUM
Stability PREMIUM
Most Likely Scores:
3-0 (8%)
3-1 (8%)
2-0 (7%)
2-1 (7%)
3-2 (4%)
1-0 (4%)
1X2H
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_YES
Stability Protocol
PREMIUM · 4 rules · 82%DecisionBET
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk17%
Accuracy68%
HOME_WIN_RATEAWAY_WEAK_RATEPOINTS_GAPCOMBINED_ELITE
AH: AH -0.5 - Low draw risk
AH_05
Standings data available (Tier 2)Strong home team = lower draw riskElite league - reduced thresholdâś“ Passed 75% Stability Protocol (4 rules, 82% confidence)
Power & Form
Attack35
Defense82
Goals/G1.2
Conc/G0.6
Attack37
Defense60
Goals/G1.2
Conc/G1.3
AS Roma Form
LDDWW
STABLE
Cagliari Form
WWWLD
UP
Score & Markets
Over 2.568%
BTTS61%
Under 2.532%
AS Roma Goals
0
3%
1
10%
2
18%
3
22%
4
19%
Cagliari Goals
0
37%
1
37%
2
18%
3
6%
4
2%
Expected Goals (xG)
3.54
AS Romavs
1.00
CagliariDecision Breakdown
M85+S60 (75.3%)GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)TOP5vsBOT (72.7%)HWR60+ (68.3%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum94%
Standings74%
Market50%
High draw risk (35%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#5
AS Roma+7
Gap#12
Cagliari
WR 64% 43 pts
WR 25% 28 pts
AS Roma
12.0%
| Feb 02 | AS Roma v Udinese | 1-0 |
| Jan 29 | AS Roma v Panathi… | 0-0 |
| Jan 25 | AS Roma v AC Milan | 1-1 |
| Jan 22 | AS Roma v VfB Stu… | 2-0 |
| Jan 18 | AS Roma v Torino | 0-2 |
| Jan 13 | AS Roma v Torino | 2-3 |
| Jan 10 | AS Roma v Sassuolo | 2-0 |
| Jan 06 | AS Roma v Lecce | 0-2 |
| Jan 03 | AS Roma v Atalanta | 1-0 |
| Dec 29 | AS Roma v Genoa | 3-1 |
Cagliari
14.0%
| Jan 31 | Cagliari v Verona | 4-0 |
| Jan 24 | Cagliari v Fiorent… | 1-2 |
| Jan 17 | Cagliari v Juventus | 1-0 |
| Jan 12 | Cagliari v Genoa | 3-0 |
| Jan 08 | Cagliari v Cremone… | 2-2 |
| Jan 02 | Cagliari v AC Milan | 0-1 |
| Dec 27 | Cagliari v Torino | 1-2 |
| Dec 21 | Cagliari v Pisa | 2-2 |
| Dec 13 | Cagliari v Atalanta | 2-1 |
| Dec 07 | Cagliari v AS Roma | 1-0 |
Head-to-Head (10)
| Dec 07, 2025 | Cagliari | 1-0 | AS Roma |
| Mar 16, 2025 | AS Roma | 1-0 | Cagliari |
| Aug 18, 2024 | Cagliari | 0-0 | AS Roma |
| Aug 18, 2024 | Cagliari | 0-0 | AS Roma |
| Feb 05, 2024 | AS Roma | 4-0 | Cagliari |
| Feb 05, 2024 | AS Roma | 4-0 | Cagliari |
| Oct 08, 2023 | Cagliari | 1-4 | AS Roma |
| Jan 16, 2022 | AS Roma | 1-0 | Cagliari |
| Oct 27, 2021 | Cagliari | 1-2 | AS Roma |
| Apr 25, 2021 | Cagliari | 3-2 | AS Roma |
Key Factors
Cagliari in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.