AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Serie A Feb 08, 2026

Bologna

Home
VS
11:30

Parma

Away
AI Predictions 39.0% Confidence
Bologna Win
39.0%
Draw
26.2%
Parma Win
34.8%
Home Win (39% confidence)
Predicted Score: 0-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 53%
Standings 62%
Market 50%
Combined: 43% Draw Risk: 55%
xG: 0.94 - 1.12
Key Insights
Position gap: 6 places
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Bologna Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
39%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
17%
3 goals:
5%
4 goals:
1%
Parma Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
33%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
21%
3 goals:
8%
4 goals:
2%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1 (14%) 1-1 (13%) 0-0 (13%) 1-0 (12%) 0-2 (8%) 1-2 (8%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 41%
Over 2.5 Goals 34%
Under 2.5 Goals 66%
Bologna Form 4.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 03 Bologna vs AC Milan 0-3
Jan 29 Bologna vs Maccabi T… 0-0
Jan 25 Bologna vs Genoa 3-2
Jan 22 Bologna vs Celtic 2-2
Jan 18 Bologna vs Fiorentina 1-2
Jan 15 Bologna vs Verona 2-3
Jan 10 Bologna vs Como 1-1
Jan 07 Bologna vs Atalanta 0-2
Jan 04 Bologna vs Inter 3-1
Dec 28 Bologna vs Sassuolo 1-1
Parma Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 01 Parma vs Juventus 1-4
Jan 25 Parma vs Atalanta 4-0
Jan 18 Parma vs Genoa 0-0
Jan 14 Parma vs Napoli 0-0
Jan 11 Parma vs Lecce 1-2
Jan 07 Parma vs Inter 0-2
Jan 03 Parma vs Sassuolo 1-1
Dec 27 Parma vs Fiorentina 1-0
Dec 13 Parma vs Lazio 0-1
Dec 08 Parma vs Pisa 0-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Bologna struggling (3L in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 8 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Dec 04, 2025 Bologna 2 - 1 Parma Coppa Italia
Nov 02, 2025 Parma 1 - 3 Bologna Serie A
Feb 22, 2025 Parma 2 - 0 Bologna Serie A
Oct 06, 2024 Bologna 0 - 0 Parma Pro League
Oct 06, 2024 Bologna 0 - 0 Parma Serie A
Feb 07, 2021 Parma 0 - 3 Bologna Serie A
Sep 28, 2020 Bologna 4 - 1 Parma Serie A
Jul 12, 2020 Parma 2 - 2 Bologna Serie A
Final Verdict

PRO: Bologna to win (70% confidence)

PRO Tier
Predicted: 1-0 70% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_5+ (66.8%) AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Bologna Power 36
Parma Power 28
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

10

Bologna Position

+6

Position Gap

16

Parma Position
Home Win Rate: 36%
Away Win Rate: 27%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.