AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Super Cup Jan 08, 2026

Real Madrid

Home
VS
19:00

Atlético Madrid

Away
AI Predictions 43.0% Confidence
Real Madrid Win
43.0%
Draw
25.4%
Atlético Madrid Win
31.6%
Home Win (43% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 83%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 57% Draw Risk: 24%
xG: 2.57 - 1.37
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.6 vs 1.4
Score Prediction Analysis
Real Madrid Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
8%
1 goals:
20%
2 goals:
25%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
14%
Atlético Madrid Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
25%
1 goals:
35%
2 goals:
24%
3 goals:
11%
4 goals:
4%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1 (9%) 3-1 (8%) 1-1 (7%) 2-0 (6%) 2-2 (6%) 3-0 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 70%
Under 2.5 Goals 30%
Real Madrid Form 16.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 04 Real Madr… vs Real Betis 5-1
Dec 20 Real Madr… vs Sevilla FC 2-0
Dec 17 Real Madr… vs CF Talave… 2-3
Dec 14 Real Madr… vs Alavés 1-2
Dec 10 Real Madr… vs Mancheste… 1-2
Dec 07 Real Madr… vs Celta de … 0-2
Dec 03 Real Madr… vs Athletic … 0-3
Nov 30 Real Madr… vs Girona 1-1
Nov 26 Real Madr… vs Olympiako… 3-4
Nov 23 Real Madr… vs Elche 2-2
Atlético Madrid Form 18.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 04 Atlético … vs Real Soci… 1-1
Dec 21 Atlético … vs Girona 0-3
Dec 17 Atlético … vs Atlético … 2-3
Dec 13 Atlético … vs Valencia 2-1
Dec 09 Atlético … vs PSV Eindh… 2-3
Dec 06 Atlético … vs Athletic … 1-0
Dec 02 Atlético … vs Barcelona 3-1
Nov 29 Atlético … vs Oviedo 2-0
Nov 26 Atlético … vs Inter 2-1
Nov 23 Atlético … vs Getafe 0-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Real Madrid in strong form (4W in last 5) Home
  • AtlĂ©tico Madrid in strong form (4W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 9 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Sep 27, 2025 Atlético Madrid 5 - 2 Real Madrid La Liga
Mar 12, 2025 Atlético Madrid 1 - 0 Real Madrid UEFA Champions…
Mar 04, 2025 Real Madrid 2 - 1 Atlético Madrid UEFA Champions…
Feb 08, 2025 Real Madrid 1 - 1 Atlético Madrid La Liga
Sep 29, 2024 Atlético Madrid 1 - 1 Real Madrid La Liga
Feb 04, 2024 Real Madrid 1 - 1 Atlético Madrid La Liga
Jan 18, 2024 Atlético Madrid 4 - 2 Real Madrid Copa del Rey
Jan 10, 2024 Real Madrid 5 - 3 Atlético Madrid Super Cup
Sep 24, 2023 Atlético Madrid 3 - 1 Real Madrid La Liga
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Real Madrid to win (40% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 40% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Real Madrid Power 49
Atlético Madrid Power 45
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.