AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Super Cup Jan 07, 2026

FC Barcelona

Home
VS
19:00

Athletic Club

Away
AI Predictions 51.0% Confidence
FC Barcelona Win
51.0%
Draw
23.8%
Athletic Club Win
25.2%
Home Win (51% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 51% Draw Risk: 27%
xG: 3.21 - 0.43
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.2 vs 0.4
High draw risk (27%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
FC Barcelona Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
4%
1 goals:
13%
2 goals:
21%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
18%
Athletic Club Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
65%
1 goals:
28%
2 goals:
6%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (14%) 2-0 (14%) 1-0 (8%) 3-1 (6%) 2-1 (6%) 1-1 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 34%
Over 2.5 Goals 60%
Under 2.5 Goals 40%
FC Barcelona Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Dec 09 FC Barcel… vs Eintracht… 2-1
Nov 30 FC Barcel… vs Libertad … 1-1
Nov 25 FC Barcel… vs Chelsea 3-0
Nov 23 FC Barcel… vs LDU Quito 2-2
Nov 09 FC Barcel… vs Orense SC 1-2
Nov 05 FC Barcel… vs Club Brug… 3-3
Nov 02 FC Barcel… vs Universid… 1-1
Oct 25 FC Barcel… vs Libertad … 1-0
Oct 21 FC Barcel… vs Olympiako… 6-1
Oct 18 FC Barcel… vs LDU Quito 3-0
Athletic Club Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 03 Athletic … vs Osasuna 1-1
Dec 22 Athletic … vs Espanyol 1-2
Dec 18 Athletic … vs Ourense CF 0-1
Dec 14 Athletic … vs Celta de … 2-0
Dec 10 Athletic … vs Paris Sai… 0-0
Dec 06 Athletic … vs Atlético … 1-0
Dec 03 Athletic … vs Real Madr… 0-3
Nov 29 Athletic … vs Levante 0-2
Nov 25 Athletic … vs Slavia Pr… 0-0
Nov 22 Athletic … vs Barcelona 4-0
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 10 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
May 25, 2025 Athletic Club 0 - 3 FC Barcelona La Liga
Jan 08, 2025 Athletic Club 0 - 2 FC Barcelona Super Cup
Aug 24, 2024 FC Barcelona 2 - 1 Athletic Club La Liga
Mar 03, 2024 Athletic Club 0 - 0 FC Barcelona La Liga
Jan 24, 2024 Athletic Club 4 - 2 FC Barcelona Copa del Rey
Oct 22, 2023 FC Barcelona 1 - 0 Athletic Club La Liga
Mar 12, 2023 Athletic Club 0 - 1 FC Barcelona La Liga
Oct 23, 2022 FC Barcelona 4 - 0 Athletic Club La Liga
Feb 27, 2022 FC Barcelona 4 - 0 Athletic Club La Liga
Jan 20, 2022 Athletic Club 3 - 2 FC Barcelona Copa del Rey
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Athletic Club to win (55% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 0-1 55% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE POWER_AWAY_25+ SCORING_THREAT_AWAY
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
FC Barcelona Power 0
Athletic Club Power 30
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.