AI Match Insights

Paranaense - 1 Jan 20, 2026

Aruko Sports

Home
VS
23:30

Maringá

Away
AI Predictions 49.0% Confidence
Aruko Sports Win
49.0%
Draw
24.2%
Maringá Win
26.8%
Home Win (49% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 48%
Market 50%
Combined: 60% Draw Risk: 25%
xG: 3.25 - 0.96
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.2 vs 1.0
Score Prediction Analysis
Aruko Sports Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
4%
1 goals:
13%
2 goals:
21%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
18%
Maringá Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
38%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
18%
3 goals:
6%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (8%) 3-1 (8%) 2-0 (8%) 2-1 (8%) 1-0 (5%) 1-1 (5%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 59%
Over 2.5 Goals 68%
Under 2.5 Goals 32%
Aruko Sports Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 17 Aruko Spo… vs Londrina 2-0
Jan 14 Aruko Spo… vs Foz Do Ig… 3-0
Jan 11 Aruko Spo… vs Cascavel 0-1
Jan 06 Aruko Spo… vs Independi… 2-0
Jul 19 Aruko Spo… vs Foz Do Ig… 3-1
Jul 12 Aruko Spo… vs Foz Do Ig… 2-2
May 05 Aruko Spo… vs Foz Do Ig… 2-1
Jan 31 Aruko Spo… vs Londrina 1-2
Jan 27 Aruko Spo… vs Athletico… 2-1
Jan 21 Aruko Spo… vs Cascavel 1-1
Maringá Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 18 Maringá vs Portugues… 0-1
Jan 17 Maringá vs Azuriz 0-1
Jan 16 Maringá vs Vasco DA … 4-2
Jan 13 Maringá vs Coritiba 0-1
Jan 10 Maringá vs Operário-… 1-1
Jan 07 Maringá vs Cianorte 3-3
Sep 06 Maringá vs Portugues… 1-1
Sep 03 Maringá vs Portugues… 0-2
Aug 30 Maringá vs Caxias 3-0
Aug 27 Maringá vs Madureira… 1-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • Aruko Sports struggling (3L in last 5) Home
  • Maringá struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 2 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Jan 17, 2024 Maringá 3 - 0 Aruko Sports Paranaense - 1
Feb 04, 2023 Aruko Sports 1 - 1 Maringá Paranaense - 1
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Aruko Sports Power 0
Maringá Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

6

Aruko Sports Position

-1

Position Gap

5

Maringá Position

Home Win Rate: 33%
Away Win Rate: 33%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.