Predictions Match Details
La Liga · Feb 08, 2025 20:00

Real Madrid
PWR 49
1 - 1
FT

Atlético Madrid
PWR 45
35% H 27% D 38% A
Final Verdict
Real Madrid Win
Prediction
3-1
Score
73%
Confidence
PREMIUM
Stability PREMIUM
Most Likely Scores:
1-2 (8%) 2-2 (7%) 1-1 (7%) 2-1 (7%) 1-3 (5%) 2-3 (5%)
1X2H
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_YES
LOST - Actual: 1-1
Stability Protocol
PREMIUM · 4 rules · 73%
DecisionBET
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk21%
Accuracy68%
HOME_WIN_RATEAWAY_WEAK_RATEHOME_TOP_POSITIONHOME_SCORING
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line (65% avg across 10 backtests) AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ SAME_TIER: Close positions, 28.4% draw rateClose positions = higher draw riskStrong home team = lower draw riskElite league - reduced threshold✓ Passed 75% Stability Protocol (4 rules, 73% confidence)
Power & Form
Attack64
Defense75
Goals/G2.1
Conc/G0.8
Attack52
Defense77
Goals/G1.7
Conc/G0.8
Real Madrid Form WWLWD
STABLE
Atlético Madrid Form WWWWW
UP
Score & Markets
Over 2.574%
BTTS76%
Under 2.526%
Real Madrid Goals
0
15%
1
28%
2
27%
3
17%
4
8%
Atlético Ma… Goals
0
12%
1
25%
2
27%
3
19%
4
11%
Expected Goals (xG)
1.93
Real Madrid
vs
2.16
Atlético Madrid
Decision Breakdown
HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%)HOME_FORT (73.3%)HWR60+ (68.3%)
Player40%
Momentum53%
Standings71%
Market50%
High draw risk (34%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#2
Real Madrid
+1
Gap
#3
Atlético Ma…
WR 91% 54 pts WR 27% 45 pts
Real Madrid 14.0%
Feb 05 Real Ma… v Levante 2-3
Feb 01 Real Ma… v Mallorca 2-0
Feb 01 Real Ma… v Espanyol 1-0
Jan 29 Real Ma… v Stade B… 0-3
Jan 25 Real Ma… v Villarr… 1-1
Jan 25 Real Ma… v Vallado… 0-3
Jan 19 Real Ma… v Las Pal… 4-1
Jan 18 Real Ma… v Levante 1-0
Jan 16 Real Ma… v Celta d… 5-2
Jan 12 Real Ma… v FC Barc… 2-5
Atlético Madrid 20.0%
Feb 04 Atlétic… v Getafe 5-0
Feb 01 Atlétic… v Mallorca 2-0
Jan 29 Atlétic… v RB Salz… 1-4
Jan 15 Atlétic… v Elche 0-4
Dec 21 Atlétic… v FC Barc… 1-2
Nov 23 Atlétic… v Alavés 2-1
Nov 10 Atlétic… v Mallorca 0-1
Oct 27 Atlétic… v Real Be… 1-0
Oct 06 Atlétic… v Real So… 1-1
Sep 29 Atlétic… v Real Ma… 1-1
Head-to-Head (5)
Sep 29, 2024 Atlético Madr… 1-1 Real Madrid
Feb 04, 2024 Real Madrid 1-1 Atlético Madr…
Jan 18, 2024 Atlético Madr… 4-2 Real Madrid
Jan 10, 2024 Real Madrid 5-3 Atlético Madr…
Sep 24, 2023 Atlético Madr… 3-1 Real Madrid
Key Factors
Real Madrid in strong form (3W in last 5)
Atlético Madrid in strong form (5W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.