La Liga · Sep 29, 2024 19:00

Atlético Madrid
PWR 45
1 - 1
FT

Real Madrid
PWR 49
43% H 25% D 32% A
Final Verdict
MASTER: Atlético Madrid to win (81% confidence)
Prediction
1-0
Score
81%
Confidence
MASTER
Match Analyzer MASTER
Most Likely Scores:
0-0 (27%) 0-1 (20%) 1-0 (15%) 1-1 (11%) 0-2 (8%) 1-2 (4%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 1-1
Stability Protocol
STANDARD · 2 rules · 42%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeAWAY
Draw Risk21%
Accuracy56%
AWAY_FORM_STRONGAWAY_SCORING
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line for draw protection AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)Close positions = higher draw riskStrong home team = lower draw riskElite league - reduced threshold
Away prediction needs 72%+ confidence
Power & Form
Attack52
Defense77
Goals/G1.7
Conc/G0.8
Attack64
Defense75
Goals/G2.1
Conc/G0.8
Atlético Madrid Form WWWWL
UP
Real Madrid Form WWWDW
UP
Score & Markets
Over 2.515%
BTTS23%
Under 2.585%
Atlético Ma… Goals
0
57%
1
32%
2
9%
3
2%
4
0%
Real Madrid Goals
0
47%
1
36%
2
14%
3
3%
4
1%
Expected Goals (xG)
0.56
Atlético Madrid
vs
0.76
Real Madrid
Decision Breakdown
HOME_FORT (73.3%)HWR60+ (68.3%)
Player40%
Momentum53%
Standings48%
Market50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#3
Atlético Ma…
-1
Gap
#2
Real Madrid
WR 83% 45 pts WR 67% 57 pts
Atlético Madrid 16.0%
Sep 15 Atlétic… v Valencia 3-0
Aug 31 Atlétic… v Athleti… 0-1
Aug 25 Atlétic… v Girona 3-0
May 25 Atlétic… v Real So… 0-2
May 19 Atlétic… v Osasuna 1-4
May 15 Atlétic… v Getafe 0-3
May 12 Atlétic… v Celta d… 1-0
May 04 Atlétic… v Mallorca 0-1
Apr 27 Atlétic… v Athleti… 3-1
Apr 21 Atlétic… v Alavés 2-0
Real Madrid 18.0%
Sep 26 Real Ma… v Celta 0-1
Sep 24 Real Ma… v Alavés 3-2
Sep 24 Real Ma… v Alavés 3-2
Sep 22 Real Ma… v Valencia 1-1
Sep 21 Real Ma… v Espanyol 4-1
Sep 15 Real Ma… v Valencia 3-0
Sep 14 Real Ma… v Real So… 0-2
Sep 01 Real Ma… v Real Be… 2-0
Sep 01 Real Ma… v Real Be… 2-0
Aug 31 Real Ma… v Ath Bil… 0-1
Head-to-Head (4)
Feb 04, 2024 Real Madrid 1-1 Atlético Madr…
Jan 18, 2024 Atlético Madr… 4-2 Real Madrid
Jan 10, 2024 Real Madrid 5-3 Atlético Madr…
Sep 24, 2023 Atlético Madr… 3-1 Real Madrid
Key Factors
Atlético Madrid in strong form (4W in last 5)
Real Madrid in strong form (4W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.