Predictions Match Details
La Liga · Feb 04, 2024 20:00

Real Madrid
PWR 49
1 - 1
FT

Atlético Madrid
PWR 45
57% H 23% D 20% A
Final Verdict
Real Madrid Win
Prediction
3-1
Score
73%
Confidence
PREMIUM
Stability PREMIUM
Most Likely Scores:
3-1 (6%) 3-0 (6%) 2-1 (4%) 2-0 (4%) 3-2 (3%) 2-2 (2%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 1-1
Stability Protocol
PREMIUM · 4 rules · 73%
DecisionBET
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk21%
Accuracy68%
HOME_WIN_RATEAWAY_WEAK_RATEHOME_TOP_POSITIONHOME_SCORING
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line (65% avg across 10 backtests) AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ SAME_TIER: Close positions, 28.4% draw rateClose positions = higher draw riskStrong home team = lower draw riskElite league - reduced threshold✓ Passed 75% Stability Protocol (4 rules, 73% confidence)
Power & Form
Attack64
Defense75
Goals/G2.1
Conc/G0.8
Attack52
Defense77
Goals/G1.7
Conc/G0.8
Real Madrid Form WWWWW
UP
Atlético Madrid Form WWWLL
UP
Score & Markets
Over 2.562%
BTTS64%
Under 2.538%
Real Madrid Goals
0
1%
1
5%
2
11%
3
17%
4
19%
Atlético Ma… Goals
0
35%
1
37%
2
19%
3
7%
4
2%
Expected Goals (xG)
4.50
Real Madrid
vs
1.04
Atlético Madrid
Decision Breakdown
S70+DR<22 (82.1%)M75+S65+DR<22 (81.1%)HWR75+DR<22 (80.6%)M70+S70+DR<22 (80.6%)HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%)M85+S60 (75.3%)HWR80+DR<25 (75.0%)HOME_FORT (73.3%)HWR60+ (68.3%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum94%
Standings71%
Market50%
League Standings
#2
Real Madrid
+1
Gap
#3
Atlético Ma…
WR 91% 54 pts WR 27% 45 pts
Real Madrid 20.0%
Feb 01 Real Ma… v Getafe 0-2
Jan 31 Real Ma… v Valencia 2-1
Jan 28 Real Ma… v Valencia 2-0
Jan 27 Real Ma… v Las Pal… 1-2
Jan 22 Real Ma… v Granada 0-1
Jan 21 Real Ma… v Algeria 3-2
Jan 18 Real Ma… v Atlétic… 4-2
Jan 14 Real Ma… v FC Barc… 4-1
Jan 10 Real Ma… v Atlétic… 5-3
Jan 03 Real Ma… v Mallorca 1-0
Atlético Madrid 12.0%
Jan 28 Atlétic… v Valencia 2-0
Jan 25 Atlétic… v Sevilla… 1-0
Jan 18 Atlétic… v Real Ma… 4-2
Jan 10 Atlétic… v Real Ma… 5-3
Jan 03 Atlétic… v Girona 4-3
Dec 16 Atlétic… v Athleti… 2-0
Dec 13 Atlétic… v Lazio 2-0
Dec 03 Atlétic… v FC Barc… 1-0
Nov 25 Atlétic… v Mallorca 1-0
Oct 29 Atlétic… v Alavés 2-1
Head-to-Head (3)
Jan 18, 2024 Atlético Madr… 4-2 Real Madrid
Jan 10, 2024 Real Madrid 5-3 Atlético Madr…
Sep 24, 2023 Atlético Madr… 3-1 Real Madrid
Key Factors
Real Madrid in strong form (5W in last 5)
Atlético Madrid in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.