Ligue 1 · Mar 16, 2025 19:45
Paris Saint Germain
PWR 49
Marseille
PWR 48
Paris Saint Germain
PWR 49
3 - 1
FT
Marseille
PWR 48
51% H
24% D
25% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Paris Saint Germain to win (61% confidence)
Prediction
2-1
Score
61%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
3-0 (10%)
2-0 (7%)
3-1 (5%)
2-1 (3%)
1-0 (3%)
1-1 (2%)
1X2H
Over/UnderOVER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 3-1
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 1 rules · 42%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk21%
Accuracy38%
HOME_FORM
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line for draw protection
AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)Close positions = higher draw riskStrong home team = lower draw riskElite league - reduced thresholdBelow minimum tier (need 4+ rules, got 1)
Power & Form
Attack65
Defense76
Goals/G2.2
Conc/G0.8
Attack69
Defense67
Goals/G2.3
Conc/G1.1
Paris Saint Ge… Form
WWLWW
STABLE
Marseille Form
LWLWW
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.558%
BTTS39%
Under 2.542%
Paris Saint… Goals
0
1%
1
5%
2
11%
3
17%
4
19%
Marseille Goals
0
61%
1
30%
2
8%
3
1%
4
0%
Expected Goals (xG)
4.50
Paris Saint Ge…vs
0.50
MarseilleDecision Breakdown
HWR75+DR<22 (80.6%)M85+S60 (75.3%)HWR80+DR<25 (75.0%)HOME_FORT (73.3%)HWR60+ (68.3%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum94%
Standings65%
Market50%
League Standings
#2
Paris Saint…+2
Gap#4
Marseille
WR 89% 48 pts
WR 50% 39 pts
Paris Saint Ge…
16.0%
| Mar 11 | Paris S… v Liverpo… | 0-1 |
| Mar 08 | Paris S… v Rennes … | 1-4 |
| Mar 05 | Paris S… v Liverpo… | 0-1 |
| Mar 01 | Paris S… v Lille | 4-1 |
| Feb 26 | Paris S… v Stade B… | 0-7 |
| Feb 23 | Paris S… v Lyon | 2-3 |
| Feb 19 | Paris S… v Stade B… | 7-0 |
| Feb 11 | Paris S… v Stade B… | 0-3 |
| Feb 07 | Paris S… v Monaco | 4-1 |
| Feb 04 | Paris S… v Lens | 0-2 |
Marseille
12.0%
| Mar 08 | Marseil… v Lens | 0-1 |
| Mar 02 | Marseil… v Nantes | 2-0 |
| Feb 22 | Marseil… v Auxerre | 3-0 |
| Feb 15 | Marseil… v St Etie… | 5-1 |
| Feb 09 | Marseil… v Angers | 0-2 |
| Feb 02 | Marseil… v Lyon | 3-2 |
| Jan 26 | Marseil… v Nice | 2-0 |
| Jan 19 | Marseil… v Strasbo… | 1-1 |
| Jan 14 | Marseil… v Lille | 1-1 |
| Jan 11 | Marseil… v Rennes … | 1-2 |
Head-to-Head (7)
| Oct 27, 2024 | Marseille | 0-3 | Paris Saint G… |
| Mar 31, 2024 | Marseille | 0-2 | Paris Saint G… |
| Sep 24, 2023 | Paris Saint G… | 4-0 | Marseille |
| Feb 26, 2023 | Marseille | 0-3 | Paris Saint G… |
| Feb 08, 2023 | Marseille | 2-1 | Paris Saint G… |
| Oct 16, 2022 | Paris Saint G… | 1-0 | Marseille |
| Apr 17, 2022 | Paris Saint G… | 2-1 | Marseille |
Key Factors
Paris Saint Germain in strong form (4W in last 5)
Marseille in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.