Ligue 1 · Oct 27, 2024 19:45
Marseille
PWR 48
Paris Saint Germain
PWR 49
Marseille
PWR 48
0 - 3
FT
Paris Saint Germain
PWR 49
31% H
28% D
41% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Draw expected (63% confidence)
Prediction
1-1
Score
63%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
1-1 (13%)
1-0 (12%)
0-1 (10%)
0-0 (9%)
2-1 (8%)
2-0 (8%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 0-3
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 0%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk21%
Accuracy42%
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ Teams have similar stats - 31.8% draw probability💡 PIVOT: Under 2.5 recommended (71.2% accuracy)Close positions = higher draw riskStrong home team = lower draw riskElite league - reduced threshold
SAME_STATS: WR diff only 6.4% (32.2% home win rate)
Power & Form
Attack69
Defense67
Goals/G2.3
Conc/G1.1
Attack65
Defense76
Goals/G2.2
Conc/G0.8
Marseille Form
WDDLW
STABLE
Paris Saint Ge… Form
WWWWW
UP
Score & Markets
Over 2.543%
BTTS49%
Under 2.557%
Marseille Goals
0
27%
1
35%
2
23%
3
10%
4
3%
Paris Saint… Goals
0
33%
1
37%
2
21%
3
8%
4
2%
Expected Goals (xG)
1.30
Marseillevs
1.12
Paris Saint Ge…Decision Breakdown
HOME_FORT (73.3%)HWR60+ (68.3%)
Player40%
Momentum53%
Standings46%
Market50%
High draw risk (49%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#3
Marseille-2
Gap#1
Paris Saint…
WR 70% 39 pts
WR 64% 48 pts
Marseille
12.0%
| Oct 20 | Marseil… v Montpel… | 0-5 |
| Oct 04 | Marseil… v Angers | 1-1 |
| Oct 04 | Marseil… v Angers | 1-1 |
| Sep 29 | Marseil… v Strasbo… | 1-0 |
| Sep 22 | Marseil… v Lyon | 2-3 |
| Sep 14 | Marseil… v Nice | 2-0 |
| Sep 14 | Marseil… v Nice | 2-0 |
| Aug 31 | Marseil… v Toulouse | 1-3 |
| Aug 31 | Marseil… v Toulouse | 1-3 |
| Aug 25 | Marseil… v Reims | 2-2 |
Paris Saint Ge…
20.0%
| Oct 19 | Paris S… v Strasbo… | 4-2 |
| Sep 27 | Paris S… v Rennes … | 3-1 |
| Sep 01 | Paris S… v Lille | 1-3 |
| Aug 16 | Paris S… v LE Havr… | 1-4 |
| May 25 | Paris S… v Lyon | 1-2 |
| May 19 | Paris S… v Metz | 0-2 |
| May 15 | Paris S… v Nice | 1-2 |
| May 12 | Paris S… v Toulouse | 1-3 |
| May 07 | Paris S… v Borussi… | 0-1 |
| May 01 | Paris S… v Borussi… | 1-0 |
Head-to-Head (6)
| Mar 31, 2024 | Marseille | 0-2 | Paris Saint G… |
| Sep 24, 2023 | Paris Saint G… | 4-0 | Marseille |
| Feb 26, 2023 | Marseille | 0-3 | Paris Saint G… |
| Feb 08, 2023 | Marseille | 2-1 | Paris Saint G… |
| Oct 16, 2022 | Paris Saint G… | 1-0 | Marseille |
| Apr 17, 2022 | Paris Saint G… | 2-1 | Marseille |
Key Factors
Paris Saint Germain in strong form (5W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.