Ligue 1 · Feb 26, 2023 19:45
Marseille
PWR 48
Paris Saint Germain
PWR 49
Marseille
PWR 48
0 - 3
FT
Paris Saint Germain
PWR 49
53% H
23% D
24% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Marseille to win (61% confidence)
Prediction
2-1
Score
61%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
3-1 (7%)
2-1 (7%)
3-2 (6%)
2-2 (6%)
1-1 (5%)
3-0 (4%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 0-3
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 0%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk21%
Accuracy42%
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ Teams have similar stats - 31.8% draw probability💡 PIVOT: Under 2.5 recommended (71.2% accuracy)Close positions = higher draw riskStrong home team = lower draw riskElite league - reduced threshold
SAME_STATS: WR diff only 6.4% (32.2% home win rate)
Power & Form
Attack69
Defense67
Goals/G2.3
Conc/G1.1
Attack65
Defense76
Goals/G2.2
Conc/G0.8
Marseille Form
WWLWD
STABLE
Paris Saint Ge… Form
WLLLW
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.575%
BTTS77%
Under 2.525%
Marseille Goals
0
5%
1
14%
2
22%
3
22%
4
17%
Paris Saint… Goals
0
19%
1
32%
2
26%
3
14%
4
6%
Expected Goals (xG)
3.05
Marseillevs
1.64
Paris Saint Ge…Decision Breakdown
HOME_FORT (73.3%)HWR60+ (68.3%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum86%
Standings46%
Market50%
League Standings
#3
Marseille-2
Gap#1
Paris Saint…
WR 70% 39 pts
WR 64% 48 pts
Marseille
14.0%
| Feb 19 | Marseil… v Toulouse | 2-3 |
| Feb 08 | Marseil… v Paris S… | 2-1 |
| Feb 05 | Marseil… v Nice | 1-3 |
| Feb 01 | Marseil… v Nantes | 0-2 |
| Jan 28 | Marseil… v Monaco | 1-1 |
| Jan 20 | Marseil… v Rennes … | 1-0 |
| Dec 29 | Marseil… v Toulouse | 6-1 |
| Nov 13 | Marseil… v Monaco | 2-3 |
| Oct 22 | Marseil… v Lens | 0-1 |
| Oct 16 | Marseil… v Paris S… | 1-0 |
Paris Saint Ge…
8.0%
| Feb 19 | Paris S… v Lille | 4-3 |
| Feb 11 | Paris S… v Monaco | 3-1 |
| Feb 08 | Paris S… v Marseil… | 2-1 |
| Jan 15 | Paris S… v Rennes … | 1-0 |
| Dec 28 | Paris S… v Strasbo… | 2-1 |
| Dec 16 | Paris S… v Paris FC | 2-1 |
| Nov 13 | Paris S… v Auxerre | 5-0 |
| Oct 16 | Paris S… v Marseil… | 1-0 |
| Aug 28 | Paris S… v Monaco | 1-1 |
| Aug 21 | Paris S… v Lille | 1-7 |
Head-to-Head (3)
| Feb 08, 2023 | Marseille | 2-1 | Paris Saint G… |
| Oct 16, 2022 | Paris Saint G… | 1-0 | Marseille |
| Apr 17, 2022 | Paris Saint G… | 2-1 | Marseille |
Key Factors
Marseille in strong form (3W in last 5)
Paris Saint Germain struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.