Ligue 1 · Oct 16, 2022 18:45
Paris Saint Germain
PWR 49
Marseille
PWR 48
Paris Saint Germain
PWR 49
1 - 0
FT
Marseille
PWR 48
41% H
26% D
33% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Paris Saint Germain to win (61% confidence)
Prediction
2-1
Score
61%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
3-0 (12%)
2-0 (10%)
3-1 (7%)
2-1 (7%)
1-0 (6%)
1-1 (4%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 1-0
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 1 rules · 42%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk21%
Accuracy38%
HOME_FORM
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line for draw protection
AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)Close positions = higher draw riskStrong home team = lower draw riskElite league - reduced thresholdBelow minimum tier (need 4+ rules, got 1)
Power & Form
Attack65
Defense76
Goals/G2.2
Conc/G0.8
Attack69
Defense67
Goals/G2.3
Conc/G1.1
Paris Saint Ge… Form
DWWDW
STABLE
Marseille Form
WDWWW
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.564%
BTTS46%
Under 2.536%
Paris Saint… Goals
0
3%
1
12%
2
20%
3
22%
4
19%
Marseille Goals
0
53%
1
34%
2
11%
3
2%
4
0%
Expected Goals (xG)
3.37
Paris Saint Ge…vs
0.64
MarseilleDecision Breakdown
HWR75+DR<22 (80.6%)M85+S60 (75.3%)HWR80+DR<25 (75.0%)HOME_FORT (73.3%)HWR60+ (68.3%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum94%
Standings65%
Market50%
League Standings
#2
Paris Saint…+2
Gap#4
Marseille
WR 89% 48 pts
WR 50% 39 pts
Paris Saint Ge…
16.0%
| Aug 28 | Paris S… v Monaco | 1-1 |
| Aug 21 | Paris S… v Lille | 1-7 |
| May 21 | Paris S… v Metz | 5-0 |
| Apr 29 | Paris S… v Strasbo… | 3-3 |
| Apr 17 | Paris S… v Marseil… | 2-1 |
| Mar 20 | Paris S… v Monaco | 3-0 |
| Feb 11 | Paris S… v Rennes … | 1-0 |
| Feb 06 | Paris S… v Lille | 1-5 |
| Dec 12 | Paris S… v Monaco | 2-0 |
| Oct 29 | Paris S… v Lille | 2-1 |
Marseille
18.0%
| Sep 30 | Marseil… v Angers | 0-3 |
| Sep 18 | Marseil… v Rennes … | 1-1 |
| Sep 10 | Marseil… v Lille | 2-1 |
| Aug 28 | Marseil… v Nice | 0-3 |
| Aug 20 | Marseil… v Nantes | 2-1 |
| Apr 20 | Marseil… v Nantes | 3-2 |
| Apr 17 | Marseil… v Paris S… | 2-1 |
| Mar 20 | Marseil… v Nice | 2-1 |
| Mar 06 | Marseil… v Monaco | 0-1 |
| Feb 09 | Marseil… v Nice | 4-1 |
Head-to-Head (1)
| Apr 17, 2022 | Paris Saint G… | 2-1 | Marseille |
Key Factors
Paris Saint Germain in strong form (3W in last 5)
Marseille in strong form (4W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.