AI Match Insights

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Ligue 1 Apr 17, 2022

Paris Saint Germain

Home
VS
18:45

Marseille

Away
AI Predictions 51.0% Confidence
Paris Saint Germain Win
51.0%
Draw
23.8%
Marseille Win
25.2%
Home Win (51% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
HWR75+DR<22 (80.6%) M85+S60 (75.3%) HWR80+DR<25 (75.0%) HOME_FORT (73.3%) HWR60+ (68.3%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 65%
Market 50%
Combined: 63% Draw Risk: 17%
xG: 2.99 - 0.47
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.0 vs 0.5
Score Prediction Analysis
Paris Saint Germain Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
5%
1 goals:
15%
2 goals:
23%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
17%
Marseille Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
63%
1 goals:
29%
2 goals:
7%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (14%) 3-0 (14%) 1-0 (9%) 2-1 (7%) 3-1 (7%) 1-1 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 36%
Over 2.5 Goals 59%
Under 2.5 Goals 41%
Paris Saint Germain Form 16.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 20 Paris Saiā€¦ vs Monaco 3-0
Feb 11 Paris Saiā€¦ vs Rennes FC 1-0
Feb 06 Paris Saiā€¦ vs Lille 1-5
Dec 12 Paris Saiā€¦ vs Monaco 2-0
Oct 29 Paris Saiā€¦ vs Lille 2-1
Oct 03 Paris Saiā€¦ vs Rennes FC 2-0
Sep 22 Paris Saiā€¦ vs Metz 1-2
Aug 14 Paris Saiā€¦ vs Strasbourg 4-2
May 19 Paris Saiā€¦ vs Monaco 0-2
May 09 Paris Saiā€¦ vs Rennes FC 1-1
Marseille Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 20 Marseille vs Nice 2-1
Mar 06 Marseille vs Monaco 0-1
Feb 09 Marseille vs Nice 4-1
Feb 04 Marseille vs Angers 5-2
Jan 22 Marseille vs Lens 0-2
Jan 16 Marseille vs Lille 1-1
Dec 01 Marseille vs Nantes 0-1
Oct 27 Marseille vs Nice 1-1
Oct 03 Marseille vs Lille 2-0
Sep 26 Marseille vs Lens 2-3
Key Analysis Factors
  • Paris Saint Germain in strong form (4W in last 5) Home
  • Marseille in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Paris Saint Germain to win (51% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 2-1 51% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Paris Saint Germain Power 49
Marseille Power 48
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

1

Paris Saint Germain Position

+2

Position Gap

3

Marseille Position
Home Win Rate: 89%
Away Win Rate: 50%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.