AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Arabian Gulf Cup U23 Dec 14, 2025

Iraq U23

Home
VS
12:00

Qatar U23

Away
AI Predictions 51.0% Confidence
Iraq U23 Win
51.0%
Draw
23.8%
Qatar U23 Win
25.2%
Home Win (51% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 70%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 45% Draw Risk: 55%
xG: 1.33 - 0.64
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.3 vs 0.6
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Iraq U23 Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
26%
1 goals:
35%
2 goals:
23%
3 goals:
10%
4 goals:
3%
Qatar U23 Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
53%
1 goals:
34%
2 goals:
11%
3 goals:
2%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (19%) 0-0 (14%) 2-0 (12%) 1-1 (12%) 0-1 (9%) 2-1 (8%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 35%
Over 2.5 Goals 31%
Under 2.5 Goals 69%
Iraq U23 Form 7.5%
Date Match Result
Dec 10 Iraq U23 vs UAE U23 1-0
Apr 16 Iraq U23 vs Thailand … 0-2
Mar 20 Iraq U23 vs Australia… 2-1
Jun 04 Iraq U23 vs Australia… 1-1
Qatar U23 Form 4.0%
Date Match Result
Dec 11 Qatar U23 vs Saudi Ara… 1-1
Nov 18 Qatar U23 vs Saudi Ara… 0-1
Apr 25 Qatar U23 vs Japan U23 2-4
Apr 21 Qatar U23 vs Australia… 0-0
Sep 20 Qatar U23 vs Japan U23 3-1
Oct 31 Qatar U23 vs Syria U23 1-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Qatar U23 struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Iraq U23 to win (30% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Iraq U23 Power 0
Qatar U23 Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.