AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
AFC U23 Asian Cup - Qualification Sep 09, 2025

Australia U23

Home
VS
11:35

China PR U23

Away
AI Predictions 45.0% Confidence
Australia U23 Win
45.0%
Draw
25.0%
China PR U23 Win
30.0%
Home Win (45% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 84%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 49% Draw Risk: 39%
xG: 2.30 - 1.06
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.3 vs 1.1
High draw risk (39%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Australia U23 Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
10%
1 goals:
23%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
20%
4 goals:
12%
China PR U23 Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
35%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
20%
3 goals:
7%
4 goals:
2%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1 (10%) 2-0 (9%) 1-1 (8%) 1-0 (8%) 3-1 (7%) 3-0 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 59%
Over 2.5 Goals 62%
Under 2.5 Goals 38%
Australia U23 Form 12.5%
Date Match Result
Apr 21 Australia… vs Qatar U23 0-0
Mar 26 Australia… vs Korea Rep… 2-2
Mar 20 Australia… vs Iraq U23 2-1
Jun 04 Australia… vs Iraq U23 1-1
China PR U23 Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 22 China PR … vs UAE U23 1-2
Apr 16 China PR … vs Japan U23 1-0
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Final Verdict

STANDARD: Australia U23 to win (30% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Australia U23 Power 0
China PR U23 Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.