AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Eerste Divisie Nov 10, 2024

Dordrecht

Home
VS
15:45

Helmond Sport

Away
AI Predictions 51.0% Confidence
Dordrecht Win
51.0%
Draw
23.8%
Helmond Sport Win
25.2%
Home Win (51% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
M85+S60 (75.3%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 90%
Standings 70%
Market 50%
Combined: 53% Draw Risk: 27%
xG: 2.72 - 1.00
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.7 vs 1.0 Position gap: 8 places
High draw risk (27%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Dordrecht Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
7%
1 goals:
18%
2 goals:
24%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
15%
Helmond Sport Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
37%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
18%
3 goals:
6%
4 goals:
2%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (9%) 2-1 (9%) 3-0 (8%) 3-1 (8%) 1-0 (7%) 1-1 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 59%
Over 2.5 Goals 66%
Under 2.5 Goals 34%
Dordrecht Form 18.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 30 Dordrecht vs NAC Breda 2-1
Oct 25 Dordrecht vs Utrecht 3-1
Oct 22 Dordrecht vs Vitesse 2-2
Oct 19 Dordrecht vs Sparta Ro… 5-3
Oct 18 Dordrecht vs VVV Venlo 2-3
Oct 12 Dordrecht vs Spakenburg 4-1
Sep 30 Dordrecht vs Jong AZ 0-1
Sep 13 Dordrecht vs PSV Eindh… 0-0
Aug 24 Dordrecht vs Excelsior… 1-2
Aug 17 Dordrecht vs HHC 2-1
Helmond Sport Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 31 Helmond S… vs Telstar 3-0
Oct 27 Helmond S… vs MVV Maast… 1-2
Sep 30 Helmond S… vs Jong PSV 1-3
Sep 13 Helmond S… vs De Graafs… 2-3
Aug 23 Helmond S… vs Emmen 0-0
Aug 18 Helmond S… vs Cambuur 0-1
May 10 Helmond S… vs Cambuur 1-1
May 03 Helmond S… vs PSV Eindh… 2-0
Apr 29 Helmond S… vs Emmen 3-0
Apr 19 Helmond S… vs Jong AZ 3-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Dordrecht in strong form (4W in last 5) Home
  • Helmond Sport in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 6 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Jan 12, 2024 Dordrecht 2 - 0 Helmond Sport Eerste Divisie
Oct 23, 2023 Helmond Sport 1 - 1 Dordrecht Eerste Divisie
Jul 07, 2023 Helmond Sport 3 - 1 Dordrecht Friendlies Clu…
Mar 26, 2023 Dordrecht 0 - 0 Helmond Sport Eerste Divisie
Sep 16, 2022 Helmond Sport 2 - 1 Dordrecht Eerste Divisie
Jan 07, 2022 Helmond Sport 1 - 2 Dordrecht Eerste Divisie
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Dordrecht to win (62% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 62% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_8+ (72.1%) AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Dordrecht Power 0
Helmond Sport Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

9

Dordrecht Position

+8

Position Gap

17

Helmond Sport Position
Home Win Rate: 33%
Away Win Rate: 8%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.