Eerste Divisie · Jan 12, 2024 19:00
Dordrecht
PWR 35
Helmond Sport
PWR 35
Dordrecht
PWR 35
2 - 0
FT
Helmond Sport
PWR 35
57% H
23% D
20% A
Final Verdict
PRO: Dordrecht to win (73% confidence)
Prediction
1-0
Score
73%
Confidence
PRO
Match Analyzer PRO
Match Analyzer PRO
Most Likely Scores:
3-0 (9%)
2-0 (8%)
3-1 (8%)
2-1 (7%)
1-0 (5%)
1-1 (4%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 2-0
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 3 rules · 72%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk32%
Accuracy42%
AWAY_WEAK_RATEAWAY_BOTTOM_POSITIONAWAY_LEAKING
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line (65% avg across 10 backtests)
AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)Weak home team = higher draw riskHigh draw risk (32.0%) - consider AHBelow minimum tier (need 4+ rules, got 3)
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Dordrecht Form
LLWWD
DOWN
Helmond Sport Form
LLLDL
DOWN
Score & Markets
Over 2.567%
BTTS57%
Under 2.533%
Dordrecht Goals
0
3%
1
12%
2
19%
3
22%
4
19%
Helmond Spo… Goals
0
42%
1
37%
2
16%
3
5%
4
1%
Expected Goals (xG)
3.38
Dordrechtvs
0.88
Helmond SportDecision Breakdown
M85+S60 (75.3%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum94%
Standings65%
Market50%
High draw risk (28%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#10
Dordrecht+5
Gap#15
Helmond Spo…
WR 33% 34 pts
WR 8% 29 pts
Dordrecht
10.0%
| Dec 19 | Dordrec… v Cambuur | 0-3 |
| Dec 08 | Dordrec… v VVV Ven… | 3-1 |
| Dec 01 | Dordrec… v Roda | 2-0 |
| Oct 27 | Dordrec… v Den Bos… | 5-1 |
| Oct 23 | Dordrec… v Helmond… | 1-1 |
| Sep 29 | Dordrec… v PSV Ein… | 1-1 |
| Sep 22 | Dordrec… v Jong AZ | 0-0 |
| Sep 19 | Dordrec… v GVVV Ve… | 5-2 |
| Sep 15 | Dordrec… v Utrecht | 3-3 |
| Aug 18 | Dordrec… v Willem … | 2-0 |
Helmond Sport
2.0%
| Dec 15 | Helmond… v Willem … | 4-1 |
| Dec 08 | Helmond… v MVV Maa… | 1-2 |
| Nov 24 | Helmond… v Emmen | 1-2 |
| Oct 23 | Helmond… v Dordrec… | 1-1 |
| Sep 18 | Helmond… v De Graa… | 2-1 |
| Sep 01 | Helmond… v Cambuur | 2-1 |
| Aug 28 | Helmond… v Jong PSV | 2-1 |
| Aug 18 | Helmond… v Den Bos… | 1-0 |
| Jul 07 | Helmond… v Dordrec… | 3-1 |
| Apr 14 | Helmond… v Den Bos… | 1-2 |
Head-to-Head (5)
| Oct 23, 2023 | Helmond Sport | 1-1 | Dordrecht |
| Jul 07, 2023 | Helmond Sport | 3-1 | Dordrecht |
| Mar 26, 2023 | Dordrecht | 0-0 | Helmond Sport |
| Sep 16, 2022 | Helmond Sport | 2-1 | Dordrecht |
| Jan 07, 2022 | Helmond Sport | 1-2 | Dordrecht |
Key Factors
Helmond Sport struggling (4L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.