AI Match Insights
Eerste Divisie Oct 23, 2023
Helmond Sport
HomeVS
18:00
Dordrecht
AwayAI Predictions 53.0% Confidence
Helmond Sport Win
Draw
Dordrecht Win
Home Win
(53% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score
40%
Momentum
94%
Standings
34%
Market
50%
Combined: 57%
Draw Risk: 20%
xG: 3.53 - 0.33
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.5 vs 0.3
Score Prediction Analysis
Helmond Sport Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1 goals:
2 goals:
3 goals:
4 goals:
Dordrecht Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1 goals:
2 goals:
3 goals:
4 goals:
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (15%)
2-0 (13%)
1-0 (7%)
3-1 (5%)
2-1 (4%)
1-1 (2%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score)
27%
Over 2.5 Goals
59%
Under 2.5 Goals
41%
Helmond Sport Form 12.0%
| Date | Match | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 18 | Helmond S… vs De Graafs… | 2-1 |
| Sep 01 | Helmond S… vs Cambuur | 2-1 |
| Aug 28 | Helmond S… vs Jong PSV | 2-1 |
| Aug 18 | Helmond S… vs Den Bosch | 1-0 |
| Jul 07 | Helmond S… vs Dordrecht | 3-1 |
| Apr 14 | Helmond S… vs Den Bosch | 1-2 |
| Apr 07 | Helmond S… vs MVV Maast… | 1-2 |
| Mar 26 | Helmond S… vs Dordrecht | 0-0 |
| Mar 10 | Helmond S… vs Jong PSV | 3-0 |
| Mar 06 | Helmond S… vs De Graafs… | 2-0 |
Dordrecht Form 8.0%
| Date | Match | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 29 | Dordrecht vs PSV Eindh… | 1-1 |
| Sep 19 | Dordrecht vs GVVV Veen… | 5-2 |
| Sep 15 | Dordrecht vs Utrecht | 3-3 |
| Aug 18 | Dordrecht vs Willem II | 2-0 |
| Jul 21 | Dordrecht vs Den Bosch | 2-0 |
| Jul 07 | Dordrecht vs Helmond S… | 3-1 |
| Mar 26 | Dordrecht vs Helmond S… | 0-0 |
| Mar 17 | Dordrecht vs Den Bosch | 3-1 |
| Feb 17 | Dordrecht vs VVV Venlo | 1-2 |
| Feb 10 | Dordrecht vs Willem II | 1-0 |
Key Analysis Factors
- Helmond Sport in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 4 matches
| Date | Home Team | Score | Away Team | League |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 07, 2023 | Helmond Sport | 3 - 1 | Dordrecht | Friendlies Clu… |
| Mar 26, 2023 | Dordrecht | 0 - 0 | Helmond Sport | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 16, 2022 | Helmond Sport | 2 - 1 | Dordrecht | Eerste Divisie |
| Jan 07, 2022 | Helmond Sport | 1 - 2 | Dordrecht | Eerste Divisie |
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)
STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1
23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
- No key factors identified
Helmond Sport Power
0
Dordrecht Power
0
Home Form
N/A
Away Form
N/A
League Standings Context
17
Helmond Sport Position-8
Position Gap9
Dordrecht Position
Home Win Rate: 46%
Away Win Rate: 39%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis.
Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.