Friendlies Clubs · Jul 07, 2023 17:00

Dordrecht
PWR 45
4-3
predicted

Helmond Sport
PWR 88
39% H 26% D 35% A
Final Verdict
ELITE: Dordrecht to win (85% confidence)
Prediction
4-3
Score
85%
Confidence
ELITE
Match Analyzer ELITE
Most Likely Scores:
3-0 (13%) 2-0 (9%) 1-0 (4%) 3-1 (3%) 2-1 (2%) 1-1 (1%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 3 rules · 72%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk26%
Accuracy42%
POSITION_GAPAWAY_BOTTOM_POSITIONHOME_SCORING
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line (65% avg across 10 backtests) AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)Large gap = lower draw riskWeak home team = higher draw riskBelow minimum tier (need 4+ rules, got 3)
Power & Form
Attack88
Defense13
Goals/G2.5
Conc/G2.5
Attack100
Defense65
Goals/G3.0
Conc/G1.0
Dordrecht Form WDLLL
STABLE
Helmond Sport Form WLDWL
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.556%
BTTS23%
Under 2.544%
Dordrecht Goals
0
1%
1
5%
2
11%
3
17%
4
19%
Helmond Spo… Goals
0
76%
1
21%
2
3%
3
0%
4
0%
Expected Goals (xG)
4.50
Dordrecht
vs
0.27
Helmond Sport
Decision Breakdown
POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum94%
Standings50%
Market50%
High draw risk (27%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#202
Dordrecht
+398
Gap
#600
Helmond Spo…
WR 33% 8 pts WR 100% 3 pts
TeamPWDLGFGAPts
Dordrecht622215158
Helmond Sport1100313
Dordrecht 6.0%
Apr 21 Dordrec… v Jong AZ 1-0
Mar 26 Dordrec… v Helmond… 0-0
Mar 17 Dordrec… v Den Bos… 3-1
Feb 17 Dordrec… v VVV Ven… 1-2
Feb 10 Dordrec… v Willem … 1-0
Feb 03 Dordrec… v PSV Ein… 4-0
Jan 27 Dordrec… v Roda 1-0
Jan 16 Dordrec… v Utrecht 0-1
Nov 20 Dordrec… v Willem … 2-2
Oct 14 Dordrec… v VVV Ven… 0-1
Helmond Sport 10.0%
Apr 14 Helmond… v Den Bos… 1-2
Apr 07 Helmond… v MVV Maa… 1-2
Mar 26 Helmond… v Dordrec… 0-0
Mar 10 Helmond… v Jong PSV 3-0
Mar 06 Helmond… v De Graa… 2-0
Feb 03 Helmond… v Willem … 5-1
Dec 16 Helmond… v Den Bos… 1-0
Nov 18 Helmond… v De Graa… 0-2
Nov 04 Helmond… v MVV Maa… 4-0
Oct 24 Helmond… v Jong PSV 6-0
Head-to-Head (3)
Mar 26, 2023 Dordrecht 0-0 Helmond Sport
Sep 16, 2022 Helmond Sport 2-1 Dordrecht
Jan 07, 2022 Helmond Sport 1-2 Dordrecht
Key Factors
Dordrecht struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.