AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Eerste Divisie Jan 07, 2022

Helmond Sport

Home
VS
17:45

Dordrecht

Away
AI Predictions 59.0% Confidence
Helmond Sport Win
59.0%
Draw
22.2%
Dordrecht Win
18.8%
Home Win (59% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 34%
Market 50%
Combined: 48% Draw Risk: 30%
xG: 2.82 - 0.33
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.8 vs 0.3
High draw risk (30%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Helmond Sport Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
6%
1 goals:
17%
2 goals:
24%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
16%
Dordrecht Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
72%
1 goals:
24%
2 goals:
4%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (17%) 3-0 (16%) 1-0 (12%) 2-1 (6%) 3-1 (5%) 0-0 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 26%
Over 2.5 Goals 54%
Under 2.5 Goals 46%
Helmond Sport Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Dec 10 Helmond S… vs De Graafs… 0-1
Sep 03 Helmond S… vs Emmen 1-0
Aug 27 Helmond S… vs Jong PSV 1-0
Aug 20 Helmond S… vs MVV Maast… 3-2
Aug 06 Helmond S… vs Den Bosch 2-0
May 12 Helmond S… vs De Graafs… 0-0
Apr 16 Helmond S… vs Cambuur 4-1
Feb 23 Helmond S… vs Jong PSV 2-2
Jan 22 Helmond S… vs MVV Maast… 1-1
Oct 19 Helmond S… vs De Graafs… 1-2
Dordrecht Form 4.0%
Date Match Result
Dec 03 Dordrecht vs Roda 2-5
Nov 13 Dordrecht vs PSV Eindh… 5-1
Oct 22 Dordrecht vs Den Bosch 3-3
Sep 05 Dordrecht vs VVV Venlo 0-1
Aug 20 Dordrecht vs Utrecht 2-2
Apr 05 Dordrecht vs PSV Eindh… 1-5
Mar 02 Dordrecht vs Utrecht 3-1
Jan 30 Dordrecht vs Roda 0-5
Nov 03 Dordrecht vs Utrecht 0-3
Key Analysis Factors
  • Helmond Sport in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
  • Dordrecht struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Helmond Sport Power 0
Dordrecht Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

17

Helmond Sport Position

-8

Position Gap

9

Dordrecht Position
Home Win Rate: 46%
Away Win Rate: 39%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.