AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
FA Trophy Mar 05, 2025

Hamrun Spartans

Home
VS
17:00

Sliema Wanderers

Away
AI Predictions 55.0% Confidence
Hamrun Spartans Win
55.0%
Draw
23.0%
Sliema Wanderers Win
22.0%
Home Win (55% confidence)
Predicted Score: 0-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 72%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 45% Draw Risk: 55%
xG: 0.99 - 0.20
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.0 vs 0.2
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Hamrun Spartans Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
37%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
18%
3 goals:
6%
4 goals:
2%
Sliema Wanderers Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
82%
1 goals:
16%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0 (30%) 1-0 (30%) 2-0 (15%) 0-1 (6%) 1-1 (6%) 3-0 (5%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 11%
Over 2.5 Goals 12%
Under 2.5 Goals 88%
Hamrun Spartans Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 02 Hamrun Sp… vs Gżira Uni… 0-1
Feb 01 Hamrun Sp… vs Birkirkar… 0-0
Jan 25 Hamrun Sp… vs Floriana 0-0
Jan 05 Hamrun Sp… vs Marsaxlokk 1-6
Dec 13 Hamrun Sp… vs Sliema Wa… 2-0
Dec 08 Hamrun Sp… vs Floriana 1-2
Nov 29 Hamrun Sp… vs Sliema Wa… 1-1
Nov 23 Hamrun Sp… vs Birkirkar… 0-2
Nov 07 Hamrun Sp… vs Gżira Uni… 1-2
Nov 02 Hamrun Sp… vs Marsaxlokk 2-3
Sliema Wanderers Form 4.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 01 Sliema Wa… vs Marsaxlokk 0-1
Feb 22 Sliema Wa… vs Floriana 1-2
Jan 31 Sliema Wa… vs Hibernian… 2-3
Jan 25 Sliema Wa… vs Mosta 0-1
Jan 04 Sliema Wa… vs Zabbar St… 1-0
Dec 21 Sliema Wa… vs Mosta 3-1
Dec 17 Sliema Wa… vs Floriana 1-0
Dec 13 Sliema Wa… vs Hamrun Sp… 2-0
Nov 29 Sliema Wa… vs Hamrun Sp… 1-1
Nov 23 Sliema Wa… vs Hibernian… 3-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Sliema Wanderers struggling (4L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 6 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Dec 13, 2024 Hamrun Spartans 2 - 0 Sliema Wanderers Super Cup
Nov 29, 2024 Sliema Wanderers 1 - 1 Hamrun Spartans Premier League
Oct 25, 2024 Sliema Wanderers 1 - 0 Hamrun Spartans Premier League
Feb 25, 2024 Sliema Wanderers 0 - 0 Hamrun Spartans Premier League
Oct 21, 2023 Hamrun Spartans 1 - 1 Sliema Wanderers Premier League
Mar 11, 2022 Hamrun Spartans 3 - 1 Sliema Wanderers Premier League
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Hamrun Spartans to win (30% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Hamrun Spartans Power 0
Sliema Wanderers Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.