AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
FAW Championship Jul 30, 2022

Penrhyncoch

Home
VS
13:30

Gresford Athletic

Away
AI Predictions 47.0% Confidence
Penrhyncoch Win
47.0%
Draw
24.6%
Gresford Athletic Win
28.4%
Home Win (47% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 46%
Market 50%
Combined: 59% Draw Risk: 20%
xG: 3.61 - 0.50
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.6 vs 0.5
Score Prediction Analysis
Penrhyncoch Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
3%
1 goals:
10%
2 goals:
18%
3 goals:
21%
4 goals:
19%
Gresford Athletic Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
61%
1 goals:
30%
2 goals:
8%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (13%) 2-0 (11%) 3-1 (6%) 1-0 (6%) 2-1 (5%) 1-1 (3%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 38%
Over 2.5 Goals 62%
Under 2.5 Goals 38%
Penrhyncoch Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Jul 23 Penrhynco… vs Buckley T… 0-2
Apr 09 Penrhynco… vs Gresford … 4-2
Mar 05 Penrhynco… vs Guilsfield 3-0
Feb 12 Penrhynco… vs Airbus UK 1-1
Jan 22 Penrhynco… vs Buckley T… 1-0
Dec 04 Penrhynco… vs Ruthin To… 5-1
Nov 06 Penrhynco… vs Gresford … 2-1
Sep 18 Penrhynco… vs Guilsfield 2-2
Aug 28 Penrhynco… vs Airbus UK 6-0
Aug 21 Penrhynco… vs Buckley T… 2-3
Gresford Athletic Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Jul 22 Gresford … vs Denbigh T… 0-1
Apr 15 Gresford … vs Airbus UK 4-2
Apr 09 Gresford … vs Penrhynco… 4-2
Apr 01 Gresford … vs Buckley T… 2-1
Mar 12 Gresford … vs Holywell 4-0
Jan 29 Gresford … vs Holyhead … 0-0
Nov 06 Gresford … vs Penrhynco… 2-1
Oct 09 Gresford … vs Holyhead … 5-0
Oct 01 Gresford … vs Holywell 0-0
Aug 14 Gresford … vs Holywell 2-3
Key Analysis Factors
  • Gresford Athletic struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 2 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Apr 09, 2022 Gresford Athletic 4 - 2 Penrhyncoch FAW Championsh…
Nov 06, 2021 Penrhyncoch 2 - 1 Gresford Athletic FAW Championsh…
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Penrhyncoch Power 0
Gresford Athletic Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

15

Penrhyncoch Position

-2

Position Gap

13

Gresford Athletic Position
Home Win Rate: 22%
Away Win Rate: 13%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.