Bundesliga · Mar 16, 2025 18:30
VfB Stuttgart
PWR 46
Bayer Leverkusen
PWR 42
VfB Stuttgart
PWR 46
3 - 4
FT
Bayer Leverkusen
PWR 42
43% H
25% D
32% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: VfB Stuttgart to win (58% confidence)
Prediction
2-1
Score
58%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
1-1 (12%)
1-0 (10%)
2-1 (9%)
0-1 (8%)
1-2 (7%)
2-0 (7%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderOVER_25
BTTSBTTS_YES
LOST - Actual: 3-4
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 1 rules · 70%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk21%
Accuracy42%
HOME_WIN_RATE
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line (65% avg across 10 backtests)
AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ SAME_TIER: Close positions, 28.4% draw rateClose positions = higher draw riskStrong home team = lower draw riskElite league - reduced thresholdBelow minimum tier (need 4+ rules, got 1)
Power & Form
Attack90
Defense40
Goals/G3.0
Conc/G2.0
Attack60
Defense59
Goals/G2.0
Conc/G1.4
VfB Stuttgart Form
DLDLW
STABLE
Bayer Leverkus… Form
LLLWW
DOWN
Score & Markets
Over 2.550%
BTTS54%
Under 2.550%
VfB Stuttga… Goals
0
23%
1
34%
2
25%
3
12%
4
5%
Bayer Lever… Goals
0
30%
1
36%
2
22%
3
9%
4
3%
Expected Goals (xG)
1.47
VfB Stuttgartvs
1.22
Bayer Leverkus…Decision Breakdown
HOME_FORT (73.3%)HWR60+ (68.3%)
Player40%
Momentum53%
Standings57%
Market50%
High draw risk (48%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#4
VfB Stuttga…+2
Gap#6
Bayer Lever…
WR 70% 39 pts
WR 56% 35 pts
VfB Stuttgart
8.0%
| Mar 08 | VfB Stu… v Holstei… | 2-2 |
| Feb 28 | VfB Stu… v Bayern … | 1-3 |
| Feb 23 | VfB Stu… v 1899 Ho… | 1-1 |
| Feb 15 | VfB Stu… v VfL Wol… | 1-2 |
| Feb 08 | VfB Stu… v Borussi… | 1-2 |
| Feb 04 | VfB Stu… v FC Augs… | 1-0 |
| Feb 01 | VfB Stu… v Borussi… | 1-2 |
| Feb 01 | VfB Stu… v M'gladb… | 1-2 |
| Jan 25 | VfB Stu… v Mainz | 2-0 |
| Jan 18 | VfB Stu… v SC Frei… | 4-0 |
Bayer Leverkus…
8.0%
| Mar 11 | Bayer L… v Bayern … | 0-2 |
| Mar 08 | Bayer L… v Werder … | 0-2 |
| Mar 05 | Bayer L… v Bayern … | 3-0 |
| Mar 01 | Bayer L… v Eintrac… | 1-4 |
| Feb 22 | Bayer L… v Holstei… | 0-2 |
| Feb 15 | Bayer L… v Bayern … | 0-0 |
| Feb 08 | Bayer L… v VfL Wol… | 0-0 |
| Feb 05 | Bayer L… v FC Koln | 3-2 |
| Feb 02 | Bayer L… v 1899 Ho… | 3-1 |
| Jan 25 | Bayer L… v RB Leip… | 2-2 |
Head-to-Head (10)
| Nov 01, 2024 | Bayer Leverku… | 0-0 | VfB Stuttgart |
| Nov 01, 2024 | Bayer Leverku… | 0-0 | VfB Stuttgart |
| Aug 17, 2024 | Bayer Leverku… | 2-2 | VfB Stuttgart |
| Apr 27, 2024 | Bayer Leverku… | 2-2 | VfB Stuttgart |
| Apr 27, 2024 | Bayer Leverku… | 2-2 | VfB Stuttgart |
| Feb 06, 2024 | Bayer Leverku… | 3-2 | VfB Stuttgart |
| Dec 10, 2023 | VfB Stuttgart | 1-1 | Bayer Leverku… |
| Dec 10, 2023 | VfB Stuttgart | 1-1 | Bayer Leverku… |
| May 14, 2023 | VfB Stuttgart | 1-1 | Bayer Leverku… |
| Nov 12, 2022 | Bayer Leverku… | 2-0 | VfB Stuttgart |
Key Factors
Bayer Leverkusen struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.