AI Match Insights

Bundesliga Nov 01, 2024

Bayer 04 Leverkusen

Home
VS
19:30

VfB Stuttgart

Away
AI Predictions 49.0% Confidence
Bayer 04 Leverkusen Win
49.0%
Draw
24.2%
VfB Stuttgart Win
26.8%
Home Win (49% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
HWR60+ (68.3%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 46%
Market 50%
Combined: 59% Draw Risk: 18%
xG: 4.50 - 0.56
Key Insights
xG dominance: 4.5 vs 0.6
Score Prediction Analysis
Bayer 04 Leverkusen Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1%
1 goals:
5%
2 goals:
11%
3 goals:
17%
4 goals:
19%
VfB Stuttgart Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
57%
1 goals:
32%
2 goals:
9%
3 goals:
2%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (10%) 2-0 (6%) 3-1 (5%) 2-1 (4%) 1-0 (3%) 1-1 (2%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 42%
Over 2.5 Goals 58%
Under 2.5 Goals 42%
Bayer 04 Leverkusen Form 16.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 29 Bayer 04 … vs SV Elvers… 3-0
Oct 26 Bayer 04 … vs Werder Br… 2-2
Oct 26 Bayer 04 … vs Werder Br… 2-2
Oct 19 Bayer 04 … vs Eintracht… 2-1
Oct 19 Bayer 04 … vs Eintracht… 2-1
Oct 05 Bayer 04 … vs Holstein … 2-2
Sep 28 Bayer 04 … vs FC Bayern… 1-1
Sep 22 Bayer 04 … vs VfL Wolfs… 4-3
Sep 22 Bayer 04 … vs VfL Wolfs… 4-3
Sep 14 Bayer 04 … vs 1899 Hoff… 1-4
VfB Stuttgart Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 29 VfB Stutt… vs FC Kaiser… 2-1
Oct 26 VfB Stutt… vs Holstein … 2-1
Oct 26 VfB Stutt… vs Holstein … 2-1
Oct 19 VfB Stutt… vs FC Bayern… 4-0
Oct 19 VfB Stutt… vs FC Bayern… 4-0
Oct 06 VfB Stutt… vs 1899 Hoff… 1-1
Oct 06 VfB Stutt… vs 1899 Hoff… 1-1
Sep 28 VfB Stutt… vs VfL Wolfs… 2-2
Sep 22 VfB Stutt… vs Borussia … 5-1
Sep 22 VfB Stutt… vs Borussia … 5-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Bayer 04 Leverkusen in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
  • VfB Stuttgart in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 10 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Aug 17, 2024 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 2 - 2 VfB Stuttgart Super Cup
Apr 27, 2024 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 2 - 2 VfB Stuttgart Pro League
Apr 27, 2024 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 2 - 2 VfB Stuttgart Bundesliga
Feb 06, 2024 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 3 - 2 VfB Stuttgart DFB Pokal
Dec 10, 2023 VfB Stuttgart 1 - 1 Bayer 04 Leverkusen Bundesliga
Dec 10, 2023 VfB Stuttgart 1 - 1 Bayer 04 Leverkusen Pro League
May 14, 2023 VfB Stuttgart 1 - 1 Bayer 04 Leverkusen Bundesliga
Nov 12, 2022 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 2 - 0 VfB Stuttgart Bundesliga
Feb 12, 2022 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 4 - 2 VfB Stuttgart Bundesliga
Sep 19, 2021 VfB Stuttgart 1 - 3 Bayer 04 Leverkusen Bundesliga
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (33% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 33% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Bayer 04 Leverkusen Power 42
VfB Stuttgart Power 46
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

6

Bayer 04 Leverkusen Position

-2

Position Gap

4

VfB Stuttgart Position

Home Win Rate: 60%
Away Win Rate: 50%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.