AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Super Cup Aug 17, 2024

Bayer Leverkusen

Home
VS
18:30

VfB Stuttgart

Away
AI Predictions 43.0% Confidence
Bayer Leverkusen Win
43.0%
Draw
25.4%
VfB Stuttgart Win
31.6%
Home Win (43% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 80%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 48% Draw Risk: 34%
xG: 2.00 - 0.99
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.0 vs 1.0
High draw risk (34%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Bayer Leverkusen Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
14%
1 goals:
27%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
18%
4 goals:
9%
VfB Stuttgart Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
37%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
18%
3 goals:
6%
4 goals:
2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (10%) 2-0 (10%) 1-1 (10%) 2-1 (10%) 3-0 (7%) 3-1 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 54%
Over 2.5 Goals 56%
Under 2.5 Goals 44%
Bayer Leverkusen Form 16.0%
Date Match Result
May 25 Bayer Lev… vs FC Kaiser… 0-1
May 22 Bayer Lev… vs Atalanta 3-0
May 18 Bayer Lev… vs FC Augsbu… 2-1
May 18 Bayer Lev… vs FC Augsbu… 2-1
May 12 Bayer Lev… vs VfL Bochum 0-5
May 12 Bayer Lev… vs VfL Bochum 0-5
May 09 Bayer Lev… vs AS Roma 2-2
May 05 Bayer Lev… vs Eintracht… 1-5
May 05 Bayer Lev… vs Eintracht… 1-5
May 02 Bayer Lev… vs AS Roma 0-2
VfB Stuttgart Form 18.0%
Date Match Result
Jul 13 VfB Stutt… vs FC Luzern 0-0
May 18 VfB Stutt… vs M'gladbach 4-0
May 18 VfB Stutt… vs Borussia … 4-0
May 10 VfB Stutt… vs FC Augsbu… 0-1
May 10 VfB Stutt… vs FC Augsbu… 0-1
May 04 VfB Stutt… vs Bayern Mu… 3-1
May 04 VfB Stutt… vs Bayern Mu… 3-1
Apr 27 VfB Stutt… vs Bayer Lev… 2-2
Apr 27 VfB Stutt… vs Bayer Lev… 2-2
Apr 21 VfB Stutt… vs Werder Br… 2-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Bayer Leverkusen in strong form (4W in last 5) Home
  • VfB Stuttgart in strong form (4W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 9 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Apr 27, 2024 Bayer Leverkusen 2 - 2 VfB Stuttgart Pro League
Apr 27, 2024 Bayer Leverkusen 2 - 2 VfB Stuttgart Bundesliga
Feb 06, 2024 Bayer Leverkusen 3 - 2 VfB Stuttgart DFB Pokal
Dec 10, 2023 VfB Stuttgart 1 - 1 Bayer Leverkusen Bundesliga
Dec 10, 2023 VfB Stuttgart 1 - 1 Bayer Leverkusen Pro League
May 14, 2023 VfB Stuttgart 1 - 1 Bayer Leverkusen Bundesliga
Nov 12, 2022 Bayer Leverkusen 2 - 0 VfB Stuttgart Bundesliga
Feb 12, 2022 Bayer Leverkusen 4 - 2 VfB Stuttgart Bundesliga
Sep 19, 2021 VfB Stuttgart 1 - 3 Bayer Leverkusen Bundesliga
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Bayer Leverkusen to win (40% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 2-1 40% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Bayer Leverkusen Power 42
VfB Stuttgart Power 46
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.