AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Bundesliga May 14, 2023

VfB Stuttgart

Home
VS
13:30

Bayer Leverkusen

Away
AI Predictions 39.0% Confidence
VfB Stuttgart Win
39.0%
Draw
26.2%
Bayer Leverkusen Win
34.8%
Home Win (39% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-2
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
HOME_FORT (73.3%) HWR60+ (68.3%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 45%
Standings 57%
Market 50%
Combined: 40% Draw Risk: 51%
xG: 1.58 - 2.02
High draw risk (50%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
VfB Stuttgart Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
21%
1 goals:
33%
2 goals:
26%
3 goals:
14%
4 goals:
5%
Bayer Leverkusen Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
13%
1 goals:
27%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
18%
4 goals:
9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-2 (9%) 1-1 (9%) 2-2 (7%) 2-1 (7%) 1-3 (6%) 0-2 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 67%
Under 2.5 Goals 33%
VfB Stuttgart Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
May 03 VfB Stutt… vs Eintracht… 2-3
Apr 29 VfB Stutt… vs Borussia … 2-1
Apr 15 VfB Stutt… vs Borussia … 3-3
Apr 09 VfB Stutt… vs VfL Bochum 2-3
Apr 01 VfB Stutt… vs Union Ber… 3-0
Mar 11 VfB Stutt… vs Eintracht… 1-1
Mar 04 VfB Stutt… vs Bayern Mu… 1-2
Feb 11 VfB Stutt… vs SC Freibu… 2-1
Feb 05 VfB Stutt… vs Werder Br… 0-2
Jan 24 VfB Stutt… vs 1899 Hoff… 2-2
Bayer Leverkusen Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
May 05 Bayer Lev… vs FC Koln 1-2
Apr 23 Bayer Lev… vs RB Leipzig 2-0
Apr 16 Bayer Lev… vs VfL Wolfs… 0-0
Apr 08 Bayer Lev… vs Eintracht… 3-1
Mar 12 Bayer Lev… vs Werder Br… 2-3
Feb 11 Bayer Lev… vs 1899 Hoff… 1-3
Feb 03 Bayer Lev… vs FC Augsbu… 1-0
Jan 29 Bayer Lev… vs Borussia … 0-2
Jan 22 Bayer Lev… vs Borussia … 2-3
Nov 12 Bayer Lev… vs VfB Stutt… 2-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Bayer Leverkusen in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 3 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Nov 12, 2022 Bayer Leverkusen 2 - 0 VfB Stuttgart Bundesliga
Feb 12, 2022 Bayer Leverkusen 4 - 2 VfB Stuttgart Bundesliga
Sep 19, 2021 VfB Stuttgart 1 - 3 Bayer Leverkusen Bundesliga
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (33% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 33% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
VfB Stuttgart Power 46
Bayer Leverkusen Power 42
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

4

VfB Stuttgart Position

+2

Position Gap

6

Bayer Leverkusen Position
Home Win Rate: 70%
Away Win Rate: 56%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.