AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Pernambucano - 1 Jan 31, 2026

Sport Recife

Home
VS
19:30

Santa Cruz FC

Away
AI Predictions 51.0% Confidence
Sport Recife Win
51.0%
Draw
23.8%
Santa Cruz FC Win
25.2%
Home Win (51% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%) M85+S60 (75.3%) HOME_FORT (73.3%) HWR60+ (68.3%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 83%
Market 54%
Combined: 57% Draw Risk: 46%
Asian Handicap: Home -1
xG: 2.83 - 0.25
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.8 vs 0.2 Asian Handicap: Home -1
High draw risk (46%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Sport Recife Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
6%
1 goals:
17%
2 goals:
24%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
16%
Santa Cruz FC Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
78%
1 goals:
20%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (18%) 3-0 (17%) 1-0 (13%) 2-1 (5%) 0-0 (5%) 3-1 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 21%
Over 2.5 Goals 53%
Under 2.5 Goals 47%
Sport Recife Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 28 Sport Rec… vs Maguary PE 1-1
Jan 24 Sport Rec… vs Acadêmica… 3-0
Jan 21 Sport Rec… vs Decisão 5-0
Jan 18 Sport Rec… vs Nautico R… 4-0
Jan 15 Sport Rec… vs Retrô FC … 2-0
Jan 10 Sport Rec… vs Jaguaré 2-2
Dec 03 Sport Rec… vs Bahia 2-0
Nov 29 Sport Rec… vs Santos 3-0
Nov 23 Sport Rec… vs Vitoria 1-3
Nov 18 Sport Rec… vs Botafogo 3-2
Santa Cruz FC Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 28 Santa Cru… vs Jaguaré 6-0
Jan 25 Santa Cru… vs Nautico R… 0-4
Jan 22 Santa Cru… vs Retrô FC … 1-0
Jan 17 Santa Cru… vs Acadêmica… 1-0
Jan 14 Santa Cru… vs Maguary PE 1-1
Jan 11 Santa Cru… vs Decisão 3-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Sport Recife in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
Final Verdict

MASTER: Sport Recife to win (78% confidence)

MASTER Tier
Predicted: 1-0 78% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_15+ (79.5%) HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • Huge position gap: 97
Sport Recife Power 0
Santa Cruz FC Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

2

Sport Recife Position

+2

Position Gap

4

Santa Cruz FC Position
Home Win Rate: 100%
Away Win Rate: 0%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.