La Liga · Feb 07, 2026 13:00

Rayo Vallecano
PWR 49

Oviedo
PWR 25

Rayo Vallecano
PWR 49
1-0
predicted

Oviedo
PWR 25
41% H
26% D
33% A
Final Verdict
ELITE: Rayo Vallecano to win (91% confidence)
Prediction
1-0
Score
91%
Confidence
ELITE
Match Analyzer ELITE
Match Analyzer ELITE
Most Likely Scores:
3-0 (14%)
2-0 (11%)
1-0 (6%)
3-1 (5%)
2-1 (4%)
1-1 (2%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 0%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk35%
Accuracy42%
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ Teams have similar stats - 31.8% draw probability💡 PIVOT: Under 2.5 recommended (71.2% accuracy)Close positions = higher draw riskWeak home team = higher draw riskElite league - reduced threshold
SAME_STATS: WR diff only 10.9% (32.2% home win rate)
Power & Form
Attack68
Defense74
Goals/G2.3
Conc/G0.9
Attack16
Defense54
Goals/G0.5
Conc/G1.5
Rayo Vallecano Form
LLLLW
DOWN
Oviedo Form
WLLDD
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.560%
BTTS30%
Under 2.540%
Rayo Vallec… Goals
0
2%
1
9%
2
16%
3
21%
4
19%
Oviedo Goals
0
70%
1
25%
2
5%
3
1%
4
0%
Expected Goals (xG)
3.77
Rayo Vallecanovs
0.36
OviedoDecision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum94%
Standings56%
Market50%
High draw risk (26%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#18
Rayo Vallec…+2
Gap#20
Oviedo
WR 20% 22 pts
WR 9% 16 pts
Rayo Vallecano
4.0%
| Feb 01 | Rayo Va… v Real Ma… | 2-1 |
| Jan 24 | Rayo Va… v Osasuna | 1-3 |
| Jan 18 | Rayo Va… v Celta d… | 3-0 |
| Jan 14 | Rayo Va… v Alavés | 2-0 |
| Jan 11 | Rayo Va… v Mallorca | 2-1 |
| Jan 06 | Rayo Va… v Granada | 1-3 |
| Jan 02 | Rayo Va… v Getafe | 1-1 |
| Dec 21 | Rayo Va… v Elche | 4-0 |
| Dec 18 | Rayo Va… v Drita | 3-0 |
| Dec 15 | Rayo Va… v Real Be… | 0-0 |
Oviedo
8.0%
| Jan 31 | Oviedo v Girona | 1-0 |
| Jan 25 | Oviedo v Barcelo… | 3-0 |
| Jan 17 | Oviedo v Osasuna | 3-2 |
| Jan 10 | Oviedo v Real Be… | 1-1 |
| Jan 04 | Oviedo v Alavés | 1-1 |
| Dec 20 | Oviedo v Celta d… | 0-0 |
| Dec 14 | Oviedo v Sevilla… | 4-0 |
| Dec 05 | Oviedo v Mallorca | 0-0 |
| Nov 29 | Oviedo v Atlétic… | 2-0 |
| Nov 23 | Oviedo v Rayo Va… | 0-0 |
Head-to-Head (2)
| Nov 23, 2025 | Oviedo | 0-0 | Rayo Vallecano |
| May 20, 2021 | Rayo Vallecano | 4-1 | Oviedo |
Key Factors
Rayo Vallecano struggling (4L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.