La Liga · Feb 09, 2026 20:00

Villarreal
PWR 43
1-0
predicted

Espanyol
PWR 35
45% H 25% D 30% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Villarreal to win (58% confidence)
Prediction
1-0
Score
58%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
1-1 (11%) 1-2 (9%) 0-1 (9%) 0-2 (8%) 2-1 (7%) 1-0 (7%)
1X2H
Over/UnderOVER_25
BTTSBTTS_YES
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 1 rules · 42%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk21%
Accuracy38%
HOME_FORM
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line for draw protection AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)Close positions = higher draw riskStrong home team = lower draw riskElite league - reduced thresholdBelow minimum tier (need 4+ rules, got 1)
Power & Form
Attack56
Defense67
Goals/G1.9
Conc/G1.1
Attack35
Defense63
Goals/G1.2
Conc/G1.2
Villarreal Form DLLLL
STABLE
Espanyol Form LLLDL
DOWN
Score & Markets
Over 2.555%
BTTS58%
Under 2.545%
Villarreal Goals
0
29%
1
36%
2
22%
3
9%
4
3%
Espanyol Goals
0
19%
1
31%
2
26%
3
15%
4
6%
Expected Goals (xG)
1.23
Villarreal
vs
1.69
Espanyol
Decision Breakdown
HOME_FORT (73.3%)HWR60+ (68.3%)
Player40%
Momentum45%
Standings63%
Market50%
High draw risk (53%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#4
Villarreal
+2
Gap
#6
Espanyol
WR 73% 42 pts WR 40% 34 pts
Villarreal 2.0%
Jan 31 Villarr… v Osasuna 2-2
Jan 28 Villarr… v Bayer L… 1-0
Jan 24 Villarr… v Real Ma… 0-2
Jan 20 Villarr… v Ajax 1-2
Jan 17 Villarr… v Real Be… 2-0
Jan 10 Villarr… v Alavés 3-1
Jan 03 Villarr… v Elche 1-3
Dec 21 Villarr… v Barcelo… 0-2
Dec 17 Villarr… v Santand… 2-1
Dec 10 Villarr… v FC Cope… 2-3
Espanyol 2.0%
Jan 30 Espanyol v Alavés 1-2
Jan 24 Espanyol v Valencia 3-2
Jan 16 Espanyol v Girona 0-2
Jan 11 Espanyol v Levante 1-1
Jan 03 Espanyol v Barcelo… 0-2
Dec 22 Espanyol v Athleti… 1-2
Dec 13 Espanyol v Getafe 0-1
Dec 07 Espanyol v Rayo Va… 1-0
Nov 30 Espanyol v Celta d… 0-1
Nov 24 Espanyol v Sevilla… 2-1
Head-to-Head (9)
Nov 08, 2025 Espanyol 0-2 Villarreal
Apr 27, 2025 Villarreal 1-0 Espanyol
Sep 26, 2024 Espanyol 1-2 Villarreal
Sep 26, 2024 Espanyol 1-2 Villarreal
Jan 20, 2024 Espanyol 2-1 Villarreal
Apr 27, 2023 Villarreal 4-2 Espanyol
Nov 09, 2022 Espanyol 0-1 Villarreal
Feb 27, 2022 Villarreal 5-1 Espanyol
Aug 21, 2021 Espanyol 0-0 Villarreal
Key Factors
Villarreal struggling (4L in last 5)
Espanyol struggling (4L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.