La Liga · Feb 01, 2026 20:00
Athletic Club
PWR 30
Real Sociedad
PWR 35
Athletic Club
PWR 30
1 - 1
FT
Real Sociedad
PWR 35
33% H
27% D
40% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Real Sociedad to win (55% confidence)
Prediction
0-1
Score
55%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
1-1 (11%)
1-2 (10%)
0-1 (9%)
0-2 (8%)
2-1 (7%)
1-0 (6%)
1X2H
Over/UnderN/A
BTTSBTTS_YES
LOST - Actual: 1-1
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 1 rules · 70%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk35%
Accuracy42%
AWAY_WEAK_RATE
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line (65% avg across 10 backtests)
AH_025
Full data available (Tier 1)⚠️ SAME_TIER: Close positions, 28.4% draw rateClose positions = higher draw riskBoth mid-table = higher draw riskHigh draw risk (34.6%) - consider AHElite league - reduced thresholdBelow minimum tier (need 4+ rules, got 1)
Power & Form
Attack29
Defense58
Goals/G1.0
Conc/G1.4
Attack41
Defense59
Goals/G1.4
Conc/G1.4
Athletic Club Form
DLWLW
STABLE
Real Sociedad Form
WWWDW
UP
Score & Markets
Over 2.557%
BTTS59%
Under 2.543%
Athletic Cl… Goals
0
29%
1
36%
2
22%
3
9%
4
3%
Real Socied… Goals
0
17%
1
30%
2
27%
3
16%
4
7%
Expected Goals (xG)
1.24
Athletic Clubvs
1.79
Real SociedadDecision Breakdown
Player40%
Momentum43%
Standings44%
Market47%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#11
Athletic Cl…-3
Gap#8
Real Socied…
WR 46% 25 pts
WR 18% 31 pts
Athletic Club
10.0%
| Jan 28 | Athleti… v Sportin… | 1-1 |
| Jan 24 | Athleti… v Sevilla… | 2-1 |
| Jan 21 | Athleti… v Atalanta | 2-3 |
| Jan 17 | Athleti… v Mallorca | 3-2 |
| Jan 13 | Athleti… v Cultura… | 3-4 |
| Jan 07 | Athleti… v FC Barc… | 5-0 |
| Jan 03 | Athleti… v Osasuna | 1-1 |
| Dec 22 | Athleti… v Espanyol | 1-2 |
| Dec 18 | Athleti… v Ourense… | 0-1 |
| Dec 14 | Athleti… v Celta d… | 2-0 |
Real Sociedad
18.0%
| Jan 25 | Real So… v Celta d… | 3-1 |
| Jan 21 | Real So… v Chelsea… | 2-3 |
| Jan 18 | Real So… v Barcelo… | 2-1 |
| Jan 13 | Real So… v Osasuna | 2-2 |
| Jan 09 | Real So… v Getafe | 1-2 |
| Jan 04 | Real So… v Atlétic… | 1-1 |
| Dec 20 | Real So… v Levante | 1-1 |
| Dec 16 | Real So… v Eldense | 1-2 |
| Dec 12 | Real So… v Girona | 1-2 |
| Dec 10 | Real So… v Brighto… | 1-2 |
Head-to-Head (10)
| Nov 01, 2025 | Real Sociedad | 3-2 | Athletic Club |
| May 04, 2025 | Real Sociedad | 0-0 | Athletic Club |
| Nov 24, 2024 | Athletic Club | 1-0 | Real Sociedad |
| Jan 13, 2024 | Athletic Club | 2-1 | Real Sociedad |
| Sep 30, 2023 | Real Sociedad | 3-0 | Athletic Club |
| Apr 15, 2023 | Athletic Club | 2-0 | Real Sociedad |
| Jan 14, 2023 | Real Sociedad | 3-1 | Athletic Club |
| Aug 05, 2022 | Athletic Club | 1-0 | Real Sociedad |
| Feb 20, 2022 | Athletic Club | 4-0 | Real Sociedad |
| Oct 31, 2021 | Real Sociedad | 1-1 | Athletic Club |
Key Factors
Real Sociedad in strong form (4W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.