FA Cup · Jan 12, 2026 19:45
Liverpool
PWR 38
Burnley
PWR 25
Liverpool
PWR 38
4 - 1
FT
Burnley
PWR 25
53% H
23% D
24% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Prediction
1-1
Score
43%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
1-0 (30%)
0-0 (25%)
2-0 (18%)
3-0 (7%)
1-1 (6%)
0-1 (5%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 4-1
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 0%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk17%
Accuracy42%
Full data available (Tier 1)⚠️ Teams have similar stats - 31.8% draw probability💡 PIVOT: Under 2.5 recommended (71.2% accuracy)Strong home team = lower draw risk
SAME_STATS: WR diff only 3.1% (32.2% home win rate)
Power & Form
Attack49
Defense59
Goals/G1.6
Conc/G1.4
Attack31
Defense41
Goals/G1.0
Conc/G2.0
Liverpool Form
DDDWW
STABLE
Burnley Form
WDLLD
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.516%
BTTS13%
Under 2.584%
Liverpool Goals
0
31%
1
36%
2
21%
3
8%
4
3%
Burnley Goals
0
82%
1
16%
2
2%
3
0%
4
0%
Expected Goals (xG)
1.18
Liverpoolvs
0.20
BurnleyDecision Breakdown
ODDS60+M70 (77.4%)HWR60+ (68.3%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum80%
Standings50%
Market98%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#10
Liverpool-7
Gap#3
Burnley
WR 67% 13 pts
WR 64% 21 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liverpool | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 5 | 13 |
| Burnley | 11 | 7 | 0 | 4 | 24 | 16 | 21 |
Liverpool
14.0%
| Jan 08 | Liverpo… v Arsenal | 0-0 |
| Jan 04 | Liverpo… v Fulham | 2-2 |
| Jan 01 | Liverpo… v Leeds | 0-0 |
| Dec 27 | Liverpo… v Wolves | 2-1 |
| Dec 20 | Liverpo… v Tottenh… | 1-2 |
| Dec 13 | Liverpo… v Brighton | 2-0 |
| Dec 09 | Liverpo… v Inter | 0-1 |
| Dec 06 | Liverpo… v Leeds | 3-3 |
| Dec 03 | Liverpo… v Sunderl… | 1-1 |
| Nov 30 | Liverpo… v West Ham | 0-2 |
Burnley
8.0%
| Jan 10 | Burnley v Millwall | 5-1 |
| Jan 07 | Burnley v Manches… | 2-2 |
| Jan 03 | Burnley v Brighton | 2-0 |
| Dec 30 | Burnley v Newcast… | 1-3 |
| Dec 27 | Burnley v Everton | 0-0 |
| Dec 20 | Burnley v Bournem… | 1-1 |
| Dec 13 | Burnley v Fulham | 2-3 |
| Dec 06 | Burnley v Newcast… | 2-1 |
| Dec 06 | Burnley v Peterbo… | 0-1 |
| Dec 03 | Burnley v Crystal… | 0-1 |
Head-to-Head (10)
| Sep 14, 2025 | Burnley | 0-1 | Liverpool |
| Feb 10, 2024 | Liverpool | 3-1 | Burnley |
| Feb 10, 2024 | Liverpool | 3-1 | Burnley |
| Dec 26, 2023 | Burnley | 0-2 | Liverpool |
| Dec 26, 2023 | Burnley | 0-2 | Liverpool |
| Feb 13, 2022 | Burnley | 0-1 | Liverpool |
| Aug 21, 2021 | Liverpool | 2-0 | Burnley |
| May 19, 2021 | Burnley | 0-3 | Liverpool |
| Jan 21, 2021 | Liverpool | 0-1 | Burnley |
| Jul 11, 2020 | Liverpool | 1-1 | Burnley |
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.