AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
FA Cup Jan 11, 2026

Manchester United

Home
VS
16:30

Brighton

Away
AI Predictions 41.0% Confidence
Manchester United Win
41.0%
Draw
25.8%
Brighton Win
33.2%
Home Win (41% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-1
Decision Justification
Player Score 40%
Momentum 53%
Standings 50%
Market 55%
Combined: 42% Draw Risk: 46%
Asian Handicap: Home -1
xG: 1.41 - 1.32
Key Insights
Asian Handicap: Home -1
High draw risk (46%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Manchester United Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
24%
1 goals:
34%
2 goals:
24%
3 goals:
11%
4 goals:
4%
Brighton Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
27%
1 goals:
35%
2 goals:
23%
3 goals:
10%
4 goals:
3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1 (12%) 1-0 (9%) 0-1 (9%) 2-1 (9%) 1-2 (8%) 0-0 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 55%
Over 2.5 Goals 51%
Under 2.5 Goals 49%
Manchester United Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 07 Manchesteā€¦ vs Burnley 2-2
Jan 04 Manchesteā€¦ vs Leeds 1-1
Dec 30 Manchesteā€¦ vs Wolves 1-1
Dec 26 Manchesteā€¦ vs Newcastleā€¦ 1-0
Dec 21 Manchesteā€¦ vs Aston Vilā€¦ 2-1
Dec 15 Manchesteā€¦ vs Bournemouā€¦ 4-4
Dec 08 Manchesteā€¦ vs Wolves 1-4
Dec 04 Manchesteā€¦ vs West Ham 1-1
Nov 30 Manchesteā€¦ vs Crystal Pā€¦ 1-2
Nov 24 Manchesteā€¦ vs Everton 0-1
Brighton Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 10 Brighton vs Boreham Wā€¦ 0-5
Jan 07 Brighton vs Manchesteā€¦ 1-1
Jan 03 Brighton vs Burnley 2-0
Dec 30 Brighton vs West Ham 2-2
Dec 27 Brighton vs Arsenal 2-1
Dec 20 Brighton vs Sunderland 0-0
Dec 13 Brighton vs Liverpool 2-0
Dec 08 Brighton vs Crawley Tā€¦ 1-3
Dec 07 Brighton vs West Ham 1-1
Dec 03 Brighton vs Aston Vilā€¦ 3-4
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 10 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Oct 25, 2025 Manchester United 4 - 2 Brighton Premier League
Jan 19, 2025 Manchester United 1 - 3 Brighton Premier League
Aug 24, 2024 Brighton 2 - 1 Manchester United Pro League
Aug 24, 2024 Brighton 2 - 1 Manchester United Premier League
May 19, 2024 Brighton 0 - 2 Manchester United Premier League
May 19, 2024 Brighton 0 - 2 Manchester United Pro League
Sep 16, 2023 Manchester United 1 - 3 Brighton Premier League
May 04, 2023 Brighton 1 - 0 Manchester United Premier League
Apr 23, 2023 Brighton 0 - 0 Manchester United FA Cup
Aug 07, 2022 Manchester United 1 - 2 Brighton Premier League
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Manchester United to win (40% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 2-1 40% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Manchester United Power 39
Brighton Power 36
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.