Bundesliga · Feb 07, 2026 14:30

FSV Mainz 05
PWR 43
2 - 0
FT

FC Augsburg
PWR 28
47% H 25% D 28% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Prediction
1-1
Score
43%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
2-0 (10%) 2-1 (10%) 1-0 (8%) 1-1 (8%) 3-0 (8%) 3-1 (8%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderOVER_25
BTTSBTTS_YES
LOST - Actual: 2-0
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 0%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk35%
Accuracy42%
Standings data available (Tier 2)āš ļø Teams have similar stats - 31.8% draw probabilityšŸ’” PIVOT: Under 2.5 recommended (71.2% accuracy)Close positions = higher draw riskWeak home team = higher draw riskElite league - reduced threshold
SAME_STATS: WR diff only 7.3% (32.2% home win rate)
Power & Form
Attack45
Defense78
Goals/G1.5
Conc/G0.8
Attack36
Defense45
Goals/G1.2
Conc/G1.9
FSV Mainz 05 Form WWLWD
STABLE
FC Augsburg Form WWLWL
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.561%
BTTS57%
Under 2.539%
FSV Mainz 05 Goals
0
10%
1
23%
2
27%
3
20%
4
12%
FC Augsburg Goals
0
37%
1
37%
2
18%
3
6%
4
2%
Expected Goals (xG)
2.31
FSV Mainz 05
vs
1.00
FC Augsburg
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum84%
Standings48%
Market50%
League Standings
#14
FSV Mainz 05
-1
Gap
#13
FC Augsburg
WR 27% 21 pts WR 20% 22 pts
FSV Mainz 05 14.0%
Jan 31 FSV Mai… v RB Leip… 1-2
Jan 24 FSV Mai… v VfL Wol… 3-1
Jan 17 FSV Mai… v FC Koln 2-1
Jan 13 FSV Mai… v FC Heid… 2-1
Jan 10 FSV Mai… v Union B… 2-2
Dec 21 FSV Mai… v FC St. … 0-0
Dec 14 FSV Mai… v Bayern … 2-2
Dec 11 FSV Mai… v Lech Po… 1-1
Dec 05 FSV Mai… v Borussi… 0-1
Nov 30 FSV Mai… v SC Frei… 4-0
FC Augsburg 12.0%
Feb 06 FC Augs… v SpVgg G… 4-5
Jan 31 FC Augs… v FC St. … 2-1
Jan 30 FC Augs… v Hannove… 1-2
Jan 24 FC Augs… v Bayern … 1-2
Jan 24 FC Augs… v Dynamo … 1-2
Jan 18 FC Augs… v SC Frei… 2-2
Jan 16 FC Augs… v Eintrac… 0-3
Jan 15 FC Augs… v Union B… 1-1
Jan 11 FC Augs… v Borussi… 4-0
Jan 06 FC Augs… v FC Wint… 2-1
Head-to-Head (10)
Sep 20, 2025 FC Augsburg 1-4 FSV Mainz 05
Feb 08, 2025 FSV Mainz 05 0-0 FC Augsburg
Sep 20, 2024 FC Augsburg 2-3 FSV Mainz 05
Feb 17, 2024 FSV Mainz 05 1-0 FC Augsburg
Sep 23, 2023 FC Augsburg 2-1 FSV Mainz 05
Feb 11, 2023 FSV Mainz 05 3-1 FC Augsburg
Aug 20, 2022 FC Augsburg 1-2 FSV Mainz 05
Apr 06, 2022 FC Augsburg 2-1 FSV Mainz 05
Oct 22, 2021 FSV Mainz 05 4-1 FC Augsburg
Feb 28, 2021 FSV Mainz 05 0-1 FC Augsburg
Key Factors
FSV Mainz 05 in strong form (3W in last 5)
FC Augsburg in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.