AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Bundesliga Feb 07, 2026

SC Freiburg

Home
VS
14:30

Werder Bremen

Away
AI Predictions 57.0% Confidence
SC Freiburg Win
57.0%
Draw
22.6%
Werder Bremen Win
20.4%
Home Win (57% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
M85+S60 (75.3%) GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 91%
Standings 76%
Market 50%
Combined: 55% Draw Risk: 35%
xG: 2.03 - 0.20
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.0 vs 0.2 Position gap: 8 places
High draw risk (35%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
SC Freiburg Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
13%
1 goals:
27%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
18%
4 goals:
9%
Werder Bremen Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
82%
1 goals:
16%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (22%) 1-0 (22%) 3-0 (15%) 0-0 (11%) 2-1 (4%) 1-1 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 16%
Over 2.5 Goals 37%
Under 2.5 Goals 63%
SC Freiburg Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 01 SC Freibu… vs VfB Stutt… 1-0
Jan 29 SC Freibu… vs Lille 0-0
Jan 25 SC Freibu… vs FC Koln 2-1
Jan 22 SC Freibu… vs Maccabi T… 1-0
Jan 18 SC Freibu… vs FC Augsbu… 2-2
Jan 14 SC Freibu… vs RB Leipzig 2-0
Jan 10 SC Freibu… vs Hamburger… 2-1
Dec 20 SC Freibu… vs VfL Wolfs… 3-4
Dec 14 SC Freibu… vs Borussia … 1-1
Dec 11 SC Freibu… vs RB Salzbu… 1-0
Werder Bremen Form 4.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 31 Werder Br… vs Borussia … 1-1
Jan 27 Werder Br… vs 1899 Hoff… 0-2
Jan 24 Werder Br… vs Bayer Lev… 1-0
Jan 16 Werder Br… vs Eintracht… 3-3
Jan 13 Werder Br… vs Borussia … 3-0
Dec 20 Werder Br… vs FC Augsbu… 0-0
Dec 14 Werder Br… vs VfB Stutt… 0-4
Dec 07 Werder Br… vs Hamburger… 3-2
Nov 29 Werder Br… vs FC Koln 1-1
Nov 23 Werder Br… vs RB Leipzig 2-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Werder Bremen struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 4 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Sep 20, 2025 Werder Bremen 0 - 3 SC Freiburg Bundesliga
Feb 21, 2025 SC Freiburg 5 - 0 Werder Bremen Bundesliga
Oct 05, 2024 Werder Bremen 0 - 1 SC Freiburg Pro League
Jan 27, 2024 Werder Bremen 3 - 1 SC Freiburg Pro League
Final Verdict

STANDARD: SC Freiburg to win (55% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 55% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_8+ (72.1%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
SC Freiburg Power 34
Werder Bremen Power 35
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

7

SC Freiburg Position

+8

Position Gap

15

Werder Bremen Position
Home Win Rate: 56%
Away Win Rate: 10%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.