Bundesliga · Feb 01, 2026 14:30

VfB Stuttgart
PWR 46
1 - 0
FT

SC Freiburg
PWR 34
45% H 25% D 30% A
Final Verdict
VfB Stuttgart Win
Prediction
2-1
Score
83%
Confidence
PREMIUM
Stability PREMIUM
Most Likely Scores:
2-0 (14%) 1-0 (13%) 3-0 (11%) 2-1 (9%) 1-1 (8%) 3-1 (7%)
1X2H
Over/UnderOVER_25
BTTSBTTS_YES
WON - Actual: 1-0
Stability Protocol
PREMIUM · 5 rules · 83%
DecisionBET
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk21%
Accuracy68%
FORM_DOMINANTHOME_WIN_RATEAWAY_WEAK_RATEAWAY_LEAKINGFORM_MISMATCH
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line (65% avg across 10 backtests) AH_025
Full data available (Tier 1)⚠️ SAME_TIER: Close positions, 28.4% draw rateClose positions = higher draw riskStrong home team = lower draw riskElite league - reduced threshold✓ Passed 75% Stability Protocol (5 rules, 83% confidence)
Power & Form
Attack90
Defense40
Goals/G3.0
Conc/G2.0
Attack47
Defense51
Goals/G1.6
Conc/G1.7
VfB Stuttgart Form DWLDW
STABLE
SC Freiburg Form DWWDL
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.551%
BTTS41%
Under 2.549%
VfB Stuttga… Goals
0
11%
1
24%
2
27%
3
20%
4
11%
SC Freiburg Goals
0
54%
1
33%
2
10%
3
2%
4
0%
Expected Goals (xG)
2.22
VfB Stuttgart
vs
0.62
SC Freiburg
Decision Breakdown
HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%)M85+S60 (75.3%)HOME_FORT (73.3%)HWR60+ (68.3%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum88%
Standings70%
Market60%
High draw risk (48%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#4
VfB Stuttga…
+3
Gap
#7
SC Freiburg
WR 70% 39 pts WR 18% 30 pts
VfB Stuttgart 12.0%
Jan 29 VfB Stu… v BSC You… 0-0
Jan 25 VfB Stu… v Borussi… 0-3
Jan 22 VfB Stu… v AS Roma 2-0
Jan 18 VfB Stu… v Union B… 1-1
Jan 13 VfB Stu… v Eintrac… 3-2
Jan 10 VfB Stu… v Bayer L… 1-4
Jan 05 VfB Stu… v FC Luze… 3-2
Dec 21 VfB Stu… v Bayern … 2-2
Dec 20 VfB Stu… v 1899 Ho… 0-0
Dec 14 VfB Stu… v SC Sand… 2-0
SC Freiburg 12.0%
Jan 29 SC Frei… v Lille 0-0
Jan 25 SC Frei… v FC Koln 2-1
Jan 22 SC Frei… v Maccabi… 1-0
Jan 18 SC Frei… v FC Augs… 2-2
Jan 14 SC Frei… v RB Leip… 2-0
Jan 10 SC Frei… v Hamburg… 2-1
Dec 20 SC Frei… v VfL Wol… 3-4
Dec 14 SC Frei… v Borussi… 1-1
Dec 11 SC Frei… v RB Salz… 1-0
Dec 06 SC Frei… v FC Heid… 2-1
Head-to-Head (10)
Sep 13, 2025 SC Freiburg 3-1 VfB Stuttgart
Jan 18, 2025 VfB Stuttgart 4-0 SC Freiburg
Aug 24, 2024 SC Freiburg 3-1 VfB Stuttgart
Aug 24, 2024 SC Freiburg 3-1 VfB Stuttgart
Feb 03, 2024 SC Freiburg 1-3 VfB Stuttgart
Feb 03, 2024 SC Freiburg 1-3 VfB Stuttgart
Sep 02, 2023 VfB Stuttgart 5-0 SC Freiburg
Feb 11, 2023 SC Freiburg 2-1 VfB Stuttgart
Aug 20, 2022 VfB Stuttgart 0-1 SC Freiburg
Jan 22, 2022 SC Freiburg 2-0 VfB Stuttgart
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.